Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Next James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 37%
No Bond chosen 18%
Jacob Elordi 10.0%
Jack Lowdon 6.1%
Callum Turner
37%
No Bond chosen
13%
Jacob Elordi
6%
Jack Lowdon
6%
Harris Dickinson
6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
Theo James
4%
Henry Cavill
4%
Josh O'Connor
4%
James Norton
3%
Tom Holland
3%
Robert James-Collier
3%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
Pierce Brosnan
2%
Callum Turner 37%
No Bond chosen 18%
Jacob Elordi 10.0%
Jack Lowdon 6.1%
Callum Turner
37%
No Bond chosen
13%
Jacob Elordi
6%
Jack Lowdon
6%
Harris Dickinson
6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
Theo James
4%
Henry Cavill
4%
Josh O'Connor
4%
James Norton
3%
Tom Holland
3%
Robert James-Collier
3%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
Pierce Brosnan
2%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题