Michael Carrick's commanding 98.5% implied probability as Manchester United's next permanent head coach stems from his transformative interim stint since January 2026, when Ruben Amorim was sacked amid poor results. Carrick steered the Reds to a top-five Premier League finish and Champions League qualification, winning 10 of his first 14 matches, including triumphs over Manchester City and Arsenal, earning unanimous backing from club leadership, players, and pundits like Jamie Carragher. Recent reports confirm other candidates like Luis Enrique and Thomas Tuchel ruled out, with staff additions like Aaron Danks targeted. While a late board reversal or unforeseen withdrawal could shift odds, trader consensus reflects near-certainty on Carrick's continuity at Old Trafford.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于迈克尔·卡里克 98.6%
路易斯·恩里克 <1%
恩佐·马雷斯卡 <1%
奥勒·居纳尔·索尔斯克亚 <1%
$858,752 交易量
$858,752 交易量
迈克尔·卡里克
99%
路易斯·恩里克
1%
恩佐·马雷斯卡
1%
奥勒·居纳尔·索尔斯克亚
1%
加雷斯·索斯盖特
1%
基兰·麦肯纳
1%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳
<1%
托马斯·图赫尔
<1%
达伦·弗莱彻
<1%
哈维
<1%
洛朗·布兰克
<1%
哈维·阿隆索
<1%
迈克尔·卡里克 98.6%
路易斯·恩里克 <1%
恩佐·马雷斯卡 <1%
奥勒·居纳尔·索尔斯克亚 <1%
$858,752 交易量
$858,752 交易量
迈克尔·卡里克
99%
路易斯·恩里克
1%
恩佐·马雷斯卡
1%
奥勒·居纳尔·索尔斯克亚
1%
加雷斯·索斯盖特
1%
基兰·麦肯纳
1%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳
<1%
托马斯·图赫尔
<1%
达伦·弗莱彻
<1%
哈维
<1%
洛朗·布兰克
<1%
哈维·阿隆索
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Carrick's commanding 98.5% implied probability as Manchester United's next permanent head coach stems from his transformative interim stint since January 2026, when Ruben Amorim was sacked amid poor results. Carrick steered the Reds to a top-five Premier League finish and Champions League qualification, winning 10 of his first 14 matches, including triumphs over Manchester City and Arsenal, earning unanimous backing from club leadership, players, and pundits like Jamie Carragher. Recent reports confirm other candidates like Luis Enrique and Thomas Tuchel ruled out, with staff additions like Aaron Danks targeted. While a late board reversal or unforeseen withdrawal could shift odds, trader consensus reflects near-certainty on Carrick's continuity at Old Trafford.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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