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Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

icon for Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille 62%

Loyiso Masuku 15.3%

Herman Mashaba 13%

弗兰克·奇卡内 7.5%

Polymarket

$32,603 交易量

Helen Zille 62%

Loyiso Masuku 15.3%

Herman Mashaba 13%

弗兰克·奇卡内 7.5%

Polymarket

$32,603 交易量

icon for Helen Zille

Helen Zille

$6,089 交易量

62%

icon for Loyiso Masuku

Loyiso Masuku

$15,067 交易量

15%

icon for Herman Mashaba

Herman Mashaba

$8,755 交易量

13%

icon for 弗兰克·奇卡内

弗兰克·奇卡内

$1,098 交易量

8%

icon for 大卫·马库拉

大卫·马库拉

$858 交易量

3%

icon for Kenny Kunene

Kenny Kunene

$736 交易量

1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Johannesburg mayoral race remains closely contested ahead of the November 4 local government elections, with trader consensus reflected in evenly matched probabilities across numerous candidates. Helen Zille’s active DA campaign, featuring high-visibility events and focus on service delivery, has kept her near the top, while Herman Mashaba’s ActionSA bid and statements positioning him as an alternative have sustained separate support. Delays in the ANC’s candidate selection process, ongoing nominations from parties including Rise Mzansi and others, and Johannesburg’s history of coalition outcomes continue to fragment the field. Recent campaign activity and internal party dynamics have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead in market pricing, though further announcements or polling shifts in the coming months could alter positioning before voters decide.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,603
结束日期
2026-11-05
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Johannesburg mayoral race remains closely contested ahead of the November 4 local government elections, with trader consensus reflected in evenly matched probabilities across numerous candidates. Helen Zille’s active DA campaign, featuring high-visibility events and focus on service delivery, has kept her near the top, while Herman Mashaba’s ActionSA bid and statements positioning him as an alternative have sustained separate support. Delays in the ANC’s candidate selection process, ongoing nominations from parties including Rise Mzansi and others, and Johannesburg’s history of coalition outcomes continue to fragment the field. Recent campaign activity and internal party dynamics have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead in market pricing, though further announcements or polling shifts in the coming months could alter positioning before voters decide.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,603
结束日期
2026-11-05
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Mayor of Johannesburg?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Helen Zille",概率为 62%,其次是"Loyiso Masuku",概率为 15%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Next Mayor of Johannesburg?"已产生 $32.6K 的总交易量(自Jun 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Mayor of Johannesburg?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Mayor of Johannesburg?"的当前领先者是"Helen Zille",概率为 62%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"Loyiso Masuku",概率为 15%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Mayor of Johannesburg?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。