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icon for 下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?

下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?

icon for 下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?

下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?

西利尔斯·布林克 62%

纳西皮·莫亚 23%

Omphile Maotwe 12%

Tlangi Mogale 8%

Polymarket
最新

西利尔斯·布林克 62%

纳西皮·莫亚 23%

Omphile Maotwe 12%

Tlangi Mogale 8%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 西利尔斯·布林克

西利尔斯·布林克

$29 交易量

51%

icon for 纳西皮·莫亚

纳西皮·莫亚

$1,170 交易量

23%

icon for Omphile Maotwe

Omphile Maotwe

$42 交易量

27%

icon for Tlangi Mogale

Tlangi Mogale

$21 交易量

26%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilliers Brink holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for Tshwane mayor following the November 2026 local government elections, with the field otherwise closely bunched amid coalition uncertainty. The Democratic Alliance’s incumbent candidate benefits from recent polling showing combined DA and Freedom Front Plus support potentially sufficient for a working majority, alongside ongoing service-delivery and anti-corruption messaging. ActionSA’s Nasiphi Moya, the Economic Freedom Fighters’ Omphile Maotwe, and other contenders draw backing from fragmented opposition blocs, while ANC positioning and possible cross-party deals after results remain fluid. With no party assured of an outright win and historical patterns of post-election bargaining in hung councils, traders price multiple outcomes near even odds pending final vote shares and alliance negotiations.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,262
结束日期
2026-11-18
市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilliers Brink holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for Tshwane mayor following the November 2026 local government elections, with the field otherwise closely bunched amid coalition uncertainty. The Democratic Alliance’s incumbent candidate benefits from recent polling showing combined DA and Freedom Front Plus support potentially sufficient for a working majority, alongside ongoing service-delivery and anti-corruption messaging. ActionSA’s Nasiphi Moya, the Economic Freedom Fighters’ Omphile Maotwe, and other contenders draw backing from fragmented opposition blocs, while ANC positioning and possible cross-party deals after results remain fluid. With no party assured of an outright win and historical patterns of post-election bargaining in hung councils, traders price multiple outcomes near even odds pending final vote shares and alliance negotiations.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,262
结束日期
2026-11-18
市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"西利尔斯·布林克",概率为 51%,其次是"Omphile Maotwe",概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 51¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 51%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 18, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"的当前领先者是"西利尔斯·布林克",概率为 51%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 51%。紧随其后的结果是"Omphile Maotwe",概率为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。