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icon for Next Premier of Quebec

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 39%

Christine Fréchette 4.5%

Éric Duhaime 2.1%

Polymarket

$24,373 交易量

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 39%

Christine Fréchette 4.5%

Éric Duhaime 2.1%

Polymarket

$24,373 交易量

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$4,440 交易量

56%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,615 交易量

35%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$2,822 交易量

4%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,020 交易量

2%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,633 交易量

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,627 交易量

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,217 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends and byelection results have positioned Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner to become Quebec's next premier after the October 5, 2026, general election. The PQ maintains a modest lead or statistical tie in voting intentions, bolstered by consistent strength among francophone voters that supports a projected majority in the National Assembly. Charles Milliard, acclaimed as Quebec Liberal Party leader in February 2026, has narrowed the gap in some surveys through efforts to rebuild support outside Montreal. Christine Fréchette's April victory in the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership race stabilized the governing party but has not reversed its broader decline ahead of the vote, leaving Éric Duhaime and smaller-party candidates with minimal traction.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$24,373
结束日期
2026-10-05
市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends and byelection results have positioned Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner to become Quebec's next premier after the October 5, 2026, general election. The PQ maintains a modest lead or statistical tie in voting intentions, bolstered by consistent strength among francophone voters that supports a projected majority in the National Assembly. Charles Milliard, acclaimed as Quebec Liberal Party leader in February 2026, has narrowed the gap in some surveys through efforts to rebuild support outside Montreal. Christine Fréchette's April victory in the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership race stabilized the governing party but has not reversed its broader decline ahead of the vote, leaving Éric Duhaime and smaller-party candidates with minimal traction.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$24,373
结束日期
2026-10-05
市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Premier of Quebec"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Paul St-Pierre Plamondon",概率为 56%,其次是"Charles Milliard",概率为 35%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 56¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Next Premier of Quebec"已产生 $24.4K 的总交易量(自May 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Premier of Quebec"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Premier of Quebec"的当前领先者是"Paul St-Pierre Plamondon",概率为 56%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 56%。紧随其后的结果是"Charles Milliard",概率为 35%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Premier of Quebec"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。