Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 71.5% due to the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent edge in voting intentions and leadership ratings ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. Recent polling shows the PQ ahead overall and among francophones, with Plamondon viewed as the strongest premier candidate at 22% support, while CAQ satisfaction has fallen to 38%. His August outreach to anglophones, stressing shared concerns and competent governance after years of Coalition Avenir Québec rule, has reinforced this positioning without shifting focus from sovereignty priorities. Christine Fréchette’s incumbency as the April 2026 CAQ leader and premier provides a baseline for her 13.3% odds, while Liberal leader Charles Milliard’s 14% reflects the party’s ongoing recovery under new leadership. The closely watched campaign timeline and potential for late shifts in turnout or coalitions continue to shape trader assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东 72%
查尔斯·米利亚尔 14%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特 13.2%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔 <1%
$242,804 交易量
$242,804 交易量
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东
72%
查尔斯·米利亚尔
14%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特
13%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔
<1%
索尔·扎内蒂
<1%
埃里克·迪尤艾姆
<1%
鲁巴·加扎尔
<1%
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东 72%
查尔斯·米利亚尔 14%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特 13.2%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔 <1%
$242,804 交易量
$242,804 交易量
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东
72%
查尔斯·米利亚尔
14%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特
13%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔
<1%
索尔·扎内蒂
<1%
埃里克·迪尤艾姆
<1%
鲁巴·加扎尔
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 71.5% due to the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent edge in voting intentions and leadership ratings ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. Recent polling shows the PQ ahead overall and among francophones, with Plamondon viewed as the strongest premier candidate at 22% support, while CAQ satisfaction has fallen to 38%. His August outreach to anglophones, stressing shared concerns and competent governance after years of Coalition Avenir Québec rule, has reinforced this positioning without shifting focus from sovereignty priorities. Christine Fréchette’s incumbency as the April 2026 CAQ leader and premier provides a baseline for her 13.3% odds, while Liberal leader Charles Milliard’s 14% reflects the party’s ongoing recovery under new leadership. The closely watched campaign timeline and potential for late shifts in turnout or coalitions continue to shape trader assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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