Trader consensus assigns Paul St-Pierre Plamondon the strongest position ahead of the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by the Parti Québécois’s string of by-election victories and favorable seat projections in francophone ridings. Recent Liaison Strategies polling shows the PQ tied with the Quebec Liberal Party near 32 percent, yet models credit the PQ with a clearer path to a majority due to efficient vote distribution outside Montreal. Charles Milliard’s second-place standing reflects Liberal gains in urban areas, while Christine Fréchette’s lower odds track the Coalition Avenir Québec’s continued decline after François Legault’s January resignation and her April leadership victory. Éric Duhaime and smaller-party candidates remain marginal amid voter fragmentation. These dynamics hinge on upcoming polls and campaign developments through the fall.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%
Charles Milliard 25%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.0%
$27,087 交易量
$27,087 交易量
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
65%
Charles Milliard
25%
Christine Fréchette
12%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%
Charles Milliard 25%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.0%
$27,087 交易量
$27,087 交易量
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
65%
Charles Milliard
25%
Christine Fréchette
12%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns Paul St-Pierre Plamondon the strongest position ahead of the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by the Parti Québécois’s string of by-election victories and favorable seat projections in francophone ridings. Recent Liaison Strategies polling shows the PQ tied with the Quebec Liberal Party near 32 percent, yet models credit the PQ with a clearer path to a majority due to efficient vote distribution outside Montreal. Charles Milliard’s second-place standing reflects Liberal gains in urban areas, while Christine Fréchette’s lower odds track the Coalition Avenir Québec’s continued decline after François Legault’s January resignation and her April leadership victory. Éric Duhaime and smaller-party candidates remain marginal amid voter fragmentation. These dynamics hinge on upcoming polls and campaign developments through the fall.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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