Recent polling trends and seat projections position Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the trader consensus favorite for next premier, driven by sustained PQ strength among francophone voters and favorable electoral math for securing a National Assembly majority ahead of the October 2026 vote. New Liberal leader Charles Milliard, acclaimed earlier this year, has narrowed the popular vote gap in some surveys but trails in projected seat outcomes, limiting his market share. Christine Fréchette, who assumed the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership and premiership in April, benefits from incumbency yet contends with lower party support in current projections. Minor candidates such as Éric Duhaime, Sol Zanetti, and Ruba Ghazal register negligible probabilities amid limited polling traction. Key upcoming catalysts include further leadership debates and summer polling releases that could shift the race in this closely divided contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 70%
Charles Milliard 21%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.1%
$26,855 交易量
$26,855 交易量
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
70%
Charles Milliard
21%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 70%
Charles Milliard 21%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.1%
$26,855 交易量
$26,855 交易量
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
70%
Charles Milliard
21%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends and seat projections position Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the trader consensus favorite for next premier, driven by sustained PQ strength among francophone voters and favorable electoral math for securing a National Assembly majority ahead of the October 2026 vote. New Liberal leader Charles Milliard, acclaimed earlier this year, has narrowed the popular vote gap in some surveys but trails in projected seat outcomes, limiting his market share. Christine Fréchette, who assumed the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership and premiership in April, benefits from incumbency yet contends with lower party support in current projections. Minor candidates such as Éric Duhaime, Sol Zanetti, and Ruba Ghazal register negligible probabilities amid limited polling traction. Key upcoming catalysts include further leadership debates and summer polling releases that could shift the race in this closely divided contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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