Recent polls show Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holding a narrow popular-vote edge or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party while benefiting from strong francophone support outside Montreal, positioning him to capture a majority of National Assembly seats in the general election due by October 5. CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, who won her party’s April 12 leadership contest to succeed François Legault, faces low single-digit party support amid post-Legault fatigue. Liberal leader Charles Milliard, acclaimed in February, has narrowed gaps in Montreal and anglophone ridings but trails in overall seat projections. Minor-party contenders including Éric Duhaime remain marginal. Traders price these dynamics as the primary driver of current implied probabilities ahead of the campaign’s final months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%
Charles Milliard 22%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.0%
$26,855 交易量
$26,855 交易量
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
65%
Charles Milliard
22%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%
Charles Milliard 22%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.0%
$26,855 交易量
$26,855 交易量
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
65%
Charles Milliard
22%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holding a narrow popular-vote edge or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party while benefiting from strong francophone support outside Montreal, positioning him to capture a majority of National Assembly seats in the general election due by October 5. CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, who won her party’s April 12 leadership contest to succeed François Legault, faces low single-digit party support amid post-Legault fatigue. Liberal leader Charles Milliard, acclaimed in February, has narrowed gaps in Montreal and anglophone ridings but trails in overall seat projections. Minor-party contenders including Éric Duhaime remain marginal. Traders price these dynamics as the primary driver of current implied probabilities ahead of the campaign’s final months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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