Kyriakos Mitsotakis holds the strongest position in the market at 74.5% as the incumbent leader of New Democracy, which maintains a consistent lead in September 2026 polling at around 30% against fragmented opposition parties. Recent credit rating upgrades from Moody’s and Scope Ratings, alongside his ongoing U.S. visit to promote tech investments and AI ties, reinforce perceptions of economic stability under his government. The next parliamentary election remains scheduled for spring 2027, with Mitsotakis ruling out early votes and focusing on fiscal measures amid cost-of-living pressures. Alexis Tsipras trails at 6.5% following the launch of his new ELAS party, while lower probabilities for figures such as Stefanos Kasselakis and others reflect limited polling support and party consolidation challenges ahead of the vote.