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政治·罗马尼亚

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
政治·罗马尼亚

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

亚历山德鲁·纳扎雷 47.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

拉杜·布尔内特 6.9%

Ilie Bolojan 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,332,249 交易量

亚历山德鲁·纳扎雷 47.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

拉杜·布尔内特 6.9%

Ilie Bolojan 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,332,249 交易量

icon for 亚历山德鲁·纳扎雷

亚历山德鲁·纳扎雷

$224,168 交易量

48%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$439,868 交易量

23%

icon for 拉杜·布尔内特

拉杜·布尔内特

$98,923 交易量

7%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$168,085 交易量

4%

icon for 齐格弗里德·穆雷尚

齐格弗里德·穆雷尚

$11,043 交易量

2%

icon for 欧仁·托马克

欧仁·托马克

$260,843 交易量

2%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$47,773 交易量

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$106,012 交易量

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$70,840 交易量

1%

icon for 丹·莫特雷亚努

丹·莫特雷亚努

$76,673 交易量

1%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$152,553 交易量

1%

icon for 特劳安·伯塞斯库

特劳安·伯塞斯库

$60,634 交易量

1%

icon for 齐普里安·丘库

齐普里安·丘库

$46,381 交易量

1%

icon for 德拉戈什·皮斯拉鲁

德拉戈什·皮斯拉鲁

$72,955 交易量

1%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$76,195 交易量

1%

icon for 胡诺尔·克莱门

胡诺尔·克莱门

$83,766 交易量

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$60,280 交易量

1%

icon for 卡林·乔治斯库

卡林·乔治斯库

$61,503 交易量

1%

icon for 阿德里安·维斯特亚

阿德里安·维斯特亚

$205,064 交易量

1%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$68,435 交易量

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$59,344 交易量

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$46,483 交易量

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$54,148 交易量

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$56,429 交易量

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$54,291 交易量

<1%

icon for 亚历山德鲁·罗戈贝特

亚历山德鲁·罗戈贝特

$51,775 交易量

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$65,272 交易量

<1%

icon for 维克托尔·蓬塔

维克托尔·蓬塔

$58,401 交易量

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$48,865 交易量

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$55,027 交易量

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$68,779 交易量

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$84,883 交易量

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$59,354 交易量

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$54,744 交易量

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$60,596 交易量

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$61,865 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's prolonged political crisis since the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Ilie Bolojan’s pro-European coalition continues to shape the next prime minister market. President Nicușor Dan’s failed nominations of Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea in June highlighted deep parliamentary fragmentation, with the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and far-right opposition blocking majorities. Alexandru Nazare’s leading position reflects his finance ministry experience and perceived viability as a compromise candidate able to secure centrist and pro-EU backing. Sorin Grindeanu follows due to PSD’s parliamentary weight and explicit party endorsement, though coalition resistance limits his odds. Other contenders trail amid stalled talks over austerity, EU funds access, and majority formation ahead of the 2028 elections.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,332,249
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's prolonged political crisis since the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Ilie Bolojan’s pro-European coalition continues to shape the next prime minister market. President Nicușor Dan’s failed nominations of Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea in June highlighted deep parliamentary fragmentation, with the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and far-right opposition blocking majorities. Alexandru Nazare’s leading position reflects his finance ministry experience and perceived viability as a compromise candidate able to secure centrist and pro-EU backing. Sorin Grindeanu follows due to PSD’s parliamentary weight and explicit party endorsement, though coalition resistance limits his odds. Other contenders trail amid stalled talks over austerity, EU funds access, and majority formation ahead of the 2028 elections.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,332,249
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 36 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"亚历山德鲁·纳扎雷"，概率为 48%，其次是"Sorin Grindeanu"，概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 48¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 48%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Next Prime Minister of Romania?"已产生 $3.3 million 的总交易量（自May 5, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Prime Minister of Romania?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 36 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?"的当前领先者是"亚历山德鲁·纳扎雷"，概率为 48%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 48%。紧随其后的结果是"Sorin Grindeanu"，概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。