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Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%

Pedro Sánchez 13.3%

Santiago Abascal 5.7%

伊莎贝尔·迪亚斯·阿尤索 <1%

Polymarket

$102,259 交易量

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%

Pedro Sánchez 13.3%

Santiago Abascal 5.7%

伊莎贝尔·迪亚斯·阿尤索 <1%

Polymarket

$102,259 交易量

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$26,804 交易量

81%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$17,330 交易量

13%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$10,033 交易量

6%

icon for 伊莎贝尔·迪亚斯·阿尤索

伊莎贝尔·迪亚斯·阿尤索

$5,016 交易量

1%

icon for 卡洛斯·库埃波

卡洛斯·库埃波

$2,610 交易量

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,111 交易量

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$2,726 交易量

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$3,480 交易量

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,273 交易量

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,117 交易量

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,120 交易量

<1%

icon for 奥斯卡·普恩特

奥斯卡·普恩特

$2,100 交易量

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$3,472 交易量

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$3,512 交易量

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$3,524 交易量

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$3,031 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader consensus for Spain’s next prime minister due to the Popular Party’s consistent national polling advantage over Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE, reinforced by multiple regional election setbacks for the Socialists in 2026. Persistent corruption investigations involving senior PSOE figures and coalition partners have eroded government support ahead of the election due no later than August 2027. Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to seek another term, yet the opposition’s stronger position in parliamentary arithmetic favors Feijóo as the likely investiture candidate. Lower odds for Santiago Abascal, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, and other figures reflect limited prospects for alternative leadership or early coalition shifts before the scheduled vote.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$102,259
结束日期
2028-03-31
市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader consensus for Spain’s next prime minister due to the Popular Party’s consistent national polling advantage over Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE, reinforced by multiple regional election setbacks for the Socialists in 2026. Persistent corruption investigations involving senior PSOE figures and coalition partners have eroded government support ahead of the election due no later than August 2027. Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to seek another term, yet the opposition’s stronger position in parliamentary arithmetic favors Feijóo as the likely investiture candidate. Lower odds for Santiago Abascal, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, and other figures reflect limited prospects for alternative leadership or early coalition shifts before the scheduled vote.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$102,259
结束日期
2028-03-31
市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Alberto Núñez Feijóo",概率为 81%,其次是"Pedro Sánchez",概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 81¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 81%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Next Prime Minister of Spain?"已产生 $102.3K 的总交易量(自Jun 26, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Prime Minister of Spain?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?"的当前领先者是"Alberto Núñez Feijóo",概率为 81%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 81%。紧随其后的结果是"Pedro Sánchez",概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。