Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race to succeed António Guterres as UN Secretary-General after his term ends in December 2026, reflecting his six years as IAEA Director General and sustained engagement with all five permanent Security Council members. Recent April 2026 interactive dialogues at UN Headquarters allowed the four main candidates to outline visions for reform, peacekeeping, and multilateral effectiveness, with Grossi emphasizing pragmatic results and nuclear diplomacy experience that aligns with P5 priorities. Rebeca Grynspan draws support as a reform-oriented economist and former UNCTAD head with regional Latin American backing, while Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall trail amid questions over endorsements—Chile withdrew its nomination for Bachelet and U.S. opposition has surfaced, and Sall lacks formal African Union consensus despite his former presidency. The process requires Security Council recommendation before General Assembly approval, leaving room for further nominations or shifts ahead of formal straw polls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Rafael Grossi 56%
Rebeca Grynspan 21%
Michelle Bachelet 9.3%
Macky Sall 7.3%
$118,674 交易量
$118,674 交易量
2026-12-31
Rafael Grossi
56%
Rebeca Grynspan
21%
Michelle Bachelet
9%
Macky Sall
7%
Rafael Grossi 56%
Rebeca Grynspan 21%
Michelle Bachelet 9.3%
Macky Sall 7.3%
$118,674 交易量
$118,674 交易量
2026-12-31
Rafael Grossi
$5,481 交易量
56%
Rebeca Grynspan
$1,906 交易量
21%
Michelle Bachelet
$1,730 交易量
9%
Macky Sall
$109,557 交易量
7%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race to succeed António Guterres as UN Secretary-General after his term ends in December 2026, reflecting his six years as IAEA Director General and sustained engagement with all five permanent Security Council members. Recent April 2026 interactive dialogues at UN Headquarters allowed the four main candidates to outline visions for reform, peacekeeping, and multilateral effectiveness, with Grossi emphasizing pragmatic results and nuclear diplomacy experience that aligns with P5 priorities. Rebeca Grynspan draws support as a reform-oriented economist and former UNCTAD head with regional Latin American backing, while Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall trail amid questions over endorsements—Chile withdrew its nomination for Bachelet and U.S. opposition has surfaced, and Sall lacks formal African Union consensus despite his former presidency. The process requires Security Council recommendation before General Assembly approval, leaving room for further nominations or shifts ahead of formal straw polls.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
交易量
$118,674结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race to succeed António Guterres as UN Secretary-General after his term ends in December 2026, reflecting his six years as IAEA Director General and sustained engagement with all five permanent Security Council members. Recent April 2026 interactive dialogues at UN Headquarters allowed the four main candidates to outline visions for reform, peacekeeping, and multilateral effectiveness, with Grossi emphasizing pragmatic results and nuclear diplomacy experience that aligns with P5 priorities. Rebeca Grynspan draws support as a reform-oriented economist and former UNCTAD head with regional Latin American backing, while Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall trail amid questions over endorsements—Chile withdrew its nomination for Bachelet and U.S. opposition has surfaced, and Sall lacks formal African Union consensus despite his former presidency. The process requires Security Council recommendation before General Assembly approval, leaving room for further nominations or shifts ahead of formal straw polls.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$118,674结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race to succeed António Guterres as UN Secretary-General after his term ends in December 2026, reflecting his six years as IAEA Director General and sustained engagement with all five permanent Security Council members. Recent April 2026 interactive dialogues at UN Headquarters allowed the four main candidates to outline visions for reform, peacekeeping, and multilateral effectiveness, with Grossi emphasizing pragmatic results and nuclear diplomacy experience that aligns with P5 priorities. Rebeca Grynspan draws support as a reform-oriented economist and former UNCTAD head with regional Latin American backing, while Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall trail amid questions over endorsements—Chile withdrew its nomination for Bachelet and U.S. opposition has surfaced, and Sall lacks formal African Union consensus despite his former presidency. The process requires Security Council recommendation before General Assembly approval, leaving room for further nominations or shifts ahead of formal straw polls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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