Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett lead the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the Security Council’s third straw poll on 18 September 2026 placed them clearly ahead with nine and eight “encourage” votes respectively, while Rafael Grossi received five and several others trailed further. The non-binding polls, following interactive dialogues and a July town hall, have narrowed the field after Michelle Bachelet withdrew. Grynspan’s UNCTAD leadership, prior UNDP role, and Black Sea Grain Initiative experience underpin her position, alongside Rodrigues-Birkett’s CARICOM backing and UN ambassadorship. The process requires nine Security Council votes without a P5 veto before General Assembly approval, with the Latin American and Caribbean regional rotation favoring several candidates and ongoing P5 consultations adding uncertainty ahead of further rounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Rebeca Grynspan 43%
卡罗琳·罗德里格斯-比尔基特 27.8%
玛丽亚·费尔南达·埃斯皮诺萨 11.1%
Rafael Grossi 3.8%
$200,605 交易量
$200,605 交易量
2026-12-30
Rebeca Grynspan
43%
卡罗琳·罗德里格斯-比尔基特
28%
玛丽亚·费尔南达·埃斯皮诺萨
11%
Rafael Grossi
4%
Macky Sall
3%
Michelle Bachelet
1%
奥拉拉·奥通努
1%
伊冯娜·德·巴基
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 43%
卡罗琳·罗德里格斯-比尔基特 27.8%
玛丽亚·费尔南达·埃斯皮诺萨 11.1%
Rafael Grossi 3.8%
$200,605 交易量
$200,605 交易量
2026-12-30
Rebeca Grynspan
$20,976 交易量
43%
卡罗琳·罗德里格斯-比尔基特
$4,202 交易量
28%
玛丽亚·费尔南达·埃斯皮诺萨
$7,504 交易量
11%
Rafael Grossi
$28,325 交易量
4%
Macky Sall
$121,640 交易量
3%
Michelle Bachelet
$12,166 交易量
1%
奥拉拉·奥通努
$3,049 交易量
1%
伊冯娜·德·巴基
$2,742 交易量
1%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett lead the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the Security Council’s third straw poll on 18 September 2026 placed them clearly ahead with nine and eight “encourage” votes respectively, while Rafael Grossi received five and several others trailed further. The non-binding polls, following interactive dialogues and a July town hall, have narrowed the field after Michelle Bachelet withdrew. Grynspan’s UNCTAD leadership, prior UNDP role, and Black Sea Grain Initiative experience underpin her position, alongside Rodrigues-Birkett’s CARICOM backing and UN ambassadorship. The process requires nine Security Council votes without a P5 veto before General Assembly approval, with the Latin American and Caribbean regional rotation favoring several candidates and ongoing P5 consultations adding uncertainty ahead of further rounds.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
交易量
$200,605结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETA selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett lead the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the Security Council’s third straw poll on 18 September 2026 placed them clearly ahead with nine and eight “encourage” votes respectively, while Rafael Grossi received five and several others trailed further. The non-binding polls, following interactive dialogues and a July town hall, have narrowed the field after Michelle Bachelet withdrew. Grynspan’s UNCTAD leadership, prior UNDP role, and Black Sea Grain Initiative experience underpin her position, alongside Rodrigues-Birkett’s CARICOM backing and UN ambassadorship. The process requires nine Security Council votes without a P5 veto before General Assembly approval, with the Latin American and Caribbean regional rotation favoring several candidates and ongoing P5 consultations adding uncertainty ahead of further rounds.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$200,605结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETRebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett lead the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the Security Council’s third straw poll on 18 September 2026 placed them clearly ahead with nine and eight “encourage” votes respectively, while Rafael Grossi received five and several others trailed further. The non-binding polls, following interactive dialogues and a July town hall, have narrowed the field after Michelle Bachelet withdrew. Grynspan’s UNCTAD leadership, prior UNDP role, and Black Sea Grain Initiative experience underpin her position, alongside Rodrigues-Birkett’s CARICOM backing and UN ambassadorship. The process requires nine Security Council votes without a P5 veto before General Assembly approval, with the Latin American and Caribbean regional rotation favoring several candidates and ongoing P5 consultations adding uncertainty ahead of further rounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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