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选举·参议院

下一任参议院多数党领袖？

icon for 下一任参议院多数党领袖？
选举·参议院

下一任参议院多数党领袖？

约翰·图恩 28%

查克·舒默 23%

汤姆·科顿 15.4%

布莱恩·沙茨 10%

Polymarket

$63,442 交易量

约翰·图恩 28%

查克·舒默 23%

汤姆·科顿 15.4%

布莱恩·沙茨 10%

Polymarket

$63,442 交易量

icon for 约翰·图恩

约翰·图恩

$2,393 交易量

28%

icon for 查克·舒默

查克·舒默

$7,846 交易量

23%

icon for 汤姆·科顿

汤姆·科顿

$5,565 交易量

15%

icon for 布莱恩·沙茨

布莱恩·沙茨

$2,263 交易量

10%

icon for 科里·布克

科里·布克

$2,024 交易量

3%

icon for 艾米·克洛布查尔

艾米·克洛布查尔

$3,036 交易量

3%

icon for 史蒂夫·戴恩斯

史蒂夫·戴恩斯

$21,910 交易量

3%

icon for 约翰·巴拉索

约翰·巴拉索

$2,397 交易量

3%

icon for 林赛·格雷厄姆

林赛·格雷厄姆

$11,032 交易量

2%

icon for 马克·凯利

马克·凯利

$2,915 交易量

1%

icon for 帕蒂·默里

帕蒂·默里

$2,060 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over which party secures Senate majority after the November 2026 elections drives the tight contest among top contenders for next majority leader. Republican John Thune holds the current post with 28.5 percent implied probability, while Democratic Minority Leader Chuck Schumer sits at 23.0 percent amid competitive races in states such as Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Alaska. Tom Cotton at 15.6 percent benefits from potential intraparty support if Republicans retain control, while Democratic options including Brian Schatz reflect internal caucus dynamics. Recent super PAC spending plans and primary developments have kept outcomes fluid, with traders weighing historical re-election rates and narrow margins that could shift leadership selection.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$63,442
结束日期
2027-01-03
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over which party secures Senate majority after the November 2026 elections drives the tight contest among top contenders for next majority leader. Republican John Thune holds the current post with 28.5 percent implied probability, while Democratic Minority Leader Chuck Schumer sits at 23.0 percent amid competitive races in states such as Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Alaska. Tom Cotton at 15.6 percent benefits from potential intraparty support if Republicans retain control, while Democratic options including Brian Schatz reflect internal caucus dynamics. Recent super PAC spending plans and primary developments have kept outcomes fluid, with traders weighing historical re-election rates and narrow margins that could shift leadership selection.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$63,442
结束日期
2027-01-03
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"约翰·图恩"，概率为 28%，其次是"查克·舒默"，概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"已产生 $63.4K 的总交易量（自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"的当前领先者是"约翰·图恩"，概率为 28%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。紧随其后的结果是"查克·舒默"，概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。