Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage. The district, encompassing South Jersey suburbs of Philadelphia including Camden and Cherry Hill, supported Kamala Harris by roughly 19 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around D+10. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Norcross won his June 2 primary unopposed after securing 57.8% in the prior general election, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, a repeat challenger with limited fundraising, also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats tracks these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,224 交易量
$45,224 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$45,224 交易量
$45,224 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$27,440 交易量
95%
共和党
$17,784 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage. The district, encompassing South Jersey suburbs of Philadelphia including Camden and Cherry Hill, supported Kamala Harris by roughly 19 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around D+10. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Norcross won his June 2 primary unopposed after securing 57.8% in the prior general election, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, a repeat challenger with limited fundraising, also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats tracks these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$45,224结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage. The district, encompassing South Jersey suburbs of Philadelphia including Camden and Cherry Hill, supported Kamala Harris by roughly 19 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around D+10. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Norcross won his June 2 primary unopposed after securing 57.8% in the prior general election, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, a repeat challenger with limited fundraising, also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats tracks these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,224结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage. The district, encompassing South Jersey suburbs of Philadelphia including Camden and Cherry Hill, supported Kamala Harris by roughly 19 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around D+10. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Norcross won his June 2 primary unopposed after securing 57.8% in the prior general election, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, a repeat challenger with limited fundraising, also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats tracks these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题