Incumbent Rep. Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in solidly Democratic New Jersey's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report, where Kamala Harris won decisively in 2024 amid strong union support in the working-class Camden-area suburbs. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects Norcross's March AFSCME New Jersey Council endorsement, his fundraising edge, and perennial challenger Damon Galdo's limited resources after surviving a late ballot petition dispute. With the June 2 primaries approaching, Norcross faces only a low-polling progressive in his party while Galdo runs unopposed on the GOP side. Upsets would require a Norcross scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+ lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,637 交易量
$17,637 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$17,637 交易量
$17,637 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,210 交易量
92%
共和党
$4,427 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in solidly Democratic New Jersey's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report, where Kamala Harris won decisively in 2024 amid strong union support in the working-class Camden-area suburbs. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects Norcross's March AFSCME New Jersey Council endorsement, his fundraising edge, and perennial challenger Damon Galdo's limited resources after surviving a late ballot petition dispute. With the June 2 primaries approaching, Norcross faces only a low-polling progressive in his party while Galdo runs unopposed on the GOP side. Upsets would require a Norcross scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+ lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$17,637结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in solidly Democratic New Jersey's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report, where Kamala Harris won decisively in 2024 amid strong union support in the working-class Camden-area suburbs. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects Norcross's March AFSCME New Jersey Council endorsement, his fundraising edge, and perennial challenger Damon Galdo's limited resources after surviving a late ballot petition dispute. With the June 2 primaries approaching, Norcross faces only a low-polling progressive in his party while Galdo runs unopposed on the GOP side. Upsets would require a Norcross scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+ lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,637结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in solidly Democratic New Jersey's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report, where Kamala Harris won decisively in 2024 amid strong union support in the working-class Camden-area suburbs. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects Norcross's March AFSCME New Jersey Council endorsement, his fundraising edge, and perennial challenger Damon Galdo's limited resources after surviving a late ballot petition dispute. With the June 2 primaries approaching, Norcross faces only a low-polling progressive in his party while Galdo runs unopposed on the GOP side. Upsets would require a Norcross scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+ lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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