The strong Democratic tilt of New Jersey's 11th District, reinforced by voter registration advantages and consistent past performance, anchors the current market positioning. Democrat Analilia Mejia secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 62 percent of the vote after Mikie Sherrill's resignation to become governor, establishing her as the early favorite for the November 2026 general election. Historical results show double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican pathways despite any national headwinds. A significant shift in turnout patterns, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on the district's structural makeup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,255 交易量
$14,255 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
9%
$14,255 交易量
$14,255 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$12,046 交易量
93%
共和党
$2,209 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of New Jersey's 11th District, reinforced by voter registration advantages and consistent past performance, anchors the current market positioning. Democrat Analilia Mejia secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 62 percent of the vote after Mikie Sherrill's resignation to become governor, establishing her as the early favorite for the November 2026 general election. Historical results show double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican pathways despite any national headwinds. A significant shift in turnout patterns, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on the district's structural makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$14,255结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of New Jersey's 11th District, reinforced by voter registration advantages and consistent past performance, anchors the current market positioning. Democrat Analilia Mejia secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 62 percent of the vote after Mikie Sherrill's resignation to become governor, establishing her as the early favorite for the November 2026 general election. Historical results show double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican pathways despite any national headwinds. A significant shift in turnout patterns, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on the district's structural makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,255结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic tilt of New Jersey's 11th District, reinforced by voter registration advantages and consistent past performance, anchors the current market positioning. Democrat Analilia Mejia secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 62 percent of the vote after Mikie Sherrill's resignation to become governor, establishing her as the early favorite for the November 2026 general election. Historical results show double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican pathways despite any national headwinds. A significant shift in turnout patterns, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on the district's structural makeup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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