Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit polling lead over Republican Michael Whatley in the open-seat contest has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including a May 2026 Carolina Journal poll showing Cooper ahead by more than 11 points among likely voters, reflect Cooper’s strong name recognition and proven statewide appeal after multiple successful elections. Whatley, the former Republican National Committee chair who secured the GOP nomination in March with Donald Trump’s endorsement, remains relatively unknown to many voters and trails significantly in favorability metrics. With the November general election still months away, traders appear to view the current gap and historical midterm dynamics as tilting heavily toward the Democratic nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$58,403 交易量
$58,403 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
85%
共和党
17%
$58,403 交易量
$58,403 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$24,125 交易量
85%
共和党
$34,278 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit polling lead over Republican Michael Whatley in the open-seat contest has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including a May 2026 Carolina Journal poll showing Cooper ahead by more than 11 points among likely voters, reflect Cooper’s strong name recognition and proven statewide appeal after multiple successful elections. Whatley, the former Republican National Committee chair who secured the GOP nomination in March with Donald Trump’s endorsement, remains relatively unknown to many voters and trails significantly in favorability metrics. With the November general election still months away, traders appear to view the current gap and historical midterm dynamics as tilting heavily toward the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$58,403结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit polling lead over Republican Michael Whatley in the open-seat contest has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including a May 2026 Carolina Journal poll showing Cooper ahead by more than 11 points among likely voters, reflect Cooper’s strong name recognition and proven statewide appeal after multiple successful elections. Whatley, the former Republican National Committee chair who secured the GOP nomination in March with Donald Trump’s endorsement, remains relatively unknown to many voters and trails significantly in favorability metrics. With the November general election still months away, traders appear to view the current gap and historical midterm dynamics as tilting heavily toward the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$58,403结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit polling lead over Republican Michael Whatley in the open-seat contest has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including a May 2026 Carolina Journal poll showing Cooper ahead by more than 11 points among likely voters, reflect Cooper’s strong name recognition and proven statewide appeal after multiple successful elections. Whatley, the former Republican National Committee chair who secured the GOP nomination in March with Donald Trump’s endorsement, remains relatively unknown to many voters and trails significantly in favorability metrics. With the November general election still months away, traders appear to view the current gap and historical midterm dynamics as tilting heavily toward the Democratic nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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