Skip to main content

如需在美国交易,请访问 polymarket.us

icon for 北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者

北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者

icon for 北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者

北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者

温迪·米切尔 27%

Angela Offord 24%

安德鲁·麦卡拉 17%

玛丽·诺尔斯 0

Polymarket
最新

温迪·米切尔 27%

Angela Offord 24%

安德鲁·麦卡拉 17%

玛丽·诺尔斯 0

Polymarket
最新
icon for 温迪·米切尔

温迪·米切尔

$49 交易量

27%

icon for Angela Offord

Angela Offord

$49 交易量

24%

icon for 安德鲁·麦卡拉

安德鲁·麦卡拉

$99 交易量

10%

icon for 玛丽·诺尔斯

玛丽·诺尔斯

$562 交易量

37%

icon for 亚当·巴尼特

亚当·巴尼特

$69 交易量

40%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, a non-partisan local government contest decided by postal ballot, trader odds reflect a fragmented field with no candidate exceeding 40% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles faces challengers including Adam Barnett, Angela Offord, Wendy Mitchell, and Andrew McCullagh, alongside potential others, as voters weigh local issues such as infrastructure, community services, and rural priorities across the municipality. The absence of party structures or dominant polling data keeps probabilities closely bunched, consistent with historical patterns in Tasmanian council elections where multiple independents often split support. Upcoming ballot distribution and any late candidate statements or endorsements could shift positioning before counting concludes.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$827
结束日期
2026-10-28
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, a non-partisan local government contest decided by postal ballot, trader odds reflect a fragmented field with no candidate exceeding 40% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles faces challengers including Adam Barnett, Angela Offord, Wendy Mitchell, and Andrew McCullagh, alongside potential others, as voters weigh local issues such as infrastructure, community services, and rural priorities across the municipality. The absence of party structures or dominant polling data keeps probabilities closely bunched, consistent with historical patterns in Tasmanian council elections where multiple independents often split support. Upcoming ballot distribution and any late candidate statements or endorsements could shift positioning before counting concludes.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$827
结束日期
2026-10-28
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"亚当·巴尼特",概率为 40%,其次是"玛丽·诺尔斯",概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 3, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"亚当·巴尼特",概率为 40%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"玛丽·诺尔斯",概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"北米德兰兹市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。