Trader consensus prices Magnus Carlsen as a strong 64.5% implied probability favorite for the Norway Chess 2026 title, bolstered by his recent classical and freestyle triumphs including the TePe Sigeman, FIDE Freestyle World Championship, and Chess.com Open Playoffs in April, alongside his unchallenged world #1 FIDE rating and strong historical edge in this home super-tournament with Armageddon tiebreaks. Reigning world champion Gukesh Dommaraju sits at 9.5% after a tough 2026 classical stretch with six losses and only three wins, prompting schedule cuts and a fourth-place Menorca Masters finish. Vincent Keymer's tiebreak victory at the Grenke Freestyle Open has propelled him to 10.5% alongside Alireza Firouzja, while Wesley So and Praggnanandhaa trail closely in the youthful field locked in February.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Magnus Carlsen 66%
Vincent Keymer 11%
Alireza Firouzja 11%
Gukesh Dommaraju 10%
Magnus Carlsen
66%
Vincent Keymer
11%
Alireza Firouzja
11%
Gukesh Dommaraju
10%
Wesley So
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
8%
Magnus Carlsen 66%
Vincent Keymer 11%
Alireza Firouzja 11%
Gukesh Dommaraju 10%
Magnus Carlsen
66%
Vincent Keymer
11%
Alireza Firouzja
11%
Gukesh Dommaraju
10%
Wesley So
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Magnus Carlsen as a strong 64.5% implied probability favorite for the Norway Chess 2026 title, bolstered by his recent classical and freestyle triumphs including the TePe Sigeman, FIDE Freestyle World Championship, and Chess.com Open Playoffs in April, alongside his unchallenged world #1 FIDE rating and strong historical edge in this home super-tournament with Armageddon tiebreaks. Reigning world champion Gukesh Dommaraju sits at 9.5% after a tough 2026 classical stretch with six losses and only three wins, prompting schedule cuts and a fourth-place Menorca Masters finish. Vincent Keymer's tiebreak victory at the Grenke Freestyle Open has propelled him to 10.5% alongside Alireza Firouzja, while Wesley So and Praggnanandhaa trail closely in the youthful field locked in February.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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