Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 2nd congressional district, which covers the South Shore of Suffolk County and parts of Nassau County. Garbarino advanced unopposed after the Republican and Conservative primaries were canceled in June 2026, as did Halpin on the Democratic and Working Families lines. The seat has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing nearly 60 percent in 2024. Prediction market pricing reflects the district’s partisan composition, the incumbent’s established name recognition, and the absence of competitive primaries or late-breaking developments that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,563 交易量
$17,563 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$17,563 交易量
$17,563 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$7,102 交易量
87%
民主党
$10,461 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 2nd congressional district, which covers the South Shore of Suffolk County and parts of Nassau County. Garbarino advanced unopposed after the Republican and Conservative primaries were canceled in June 2026, as did Halpin on the Democratic and Working Families lines. The seat has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing nearly 60 percent in 2024. Prediction market pricing reflects the district’s partisan composition, the incumbent’s established name recognition, and the absence of competitive primaries or late-breaking developments that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$17,563结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 2nd congressional district, which covers the South Shore of Suffolk County and parts of Nassau County. Garbarino advanced unopposed after the Republican and Conservative primaries were canceled in June 2026, as did Halpin on the Democratic and Working Families lines. The seat has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing nearly 60 percent in 2024. Prediction market pricing reflects the district’s partisan composition, the incumbent’s established name recognition, and the absence of competitive primaries or late-breaking developments that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,563结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 2nd congressional district, which covers the South Shore of Suffolk County and parts of Nassau County. Garbarino advanced unopposed after the Republican and Conservative primaries were canceled in June 2026, as did Halpin on the Democratic and Working Families lines. The seat has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing nearly 60 percent in 2024. Prediction market pricing reflects the district’s partisan composition, the incumbent’s established name recognition, and the absence of competitive primaries or late-breaking developments that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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