Incumbent Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in New York’s 14th congressional district after winning her June 23, 2026 primary with 86.9% of the vote against two challengers. The solidly Democratic district, which features a Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered a 27.5-point margin for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024, has produced consistent double-digit Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, the absence of competitive polling shifts, and limited Republican resources. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or withdrawal by the incumbent, would be required to materially alter the outlook before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$47,839 交易量
$47,839 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$47,839 交易量
$47,839 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$29,855 交易量
95%
共和党
$17,983 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in New York’s 14th congressional district after winning her June 23, 2026 primary with 86.9% of the vote against two challengers. The solidly Democratic district, which features a Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered a 27.5-point margin for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024, has produced consistent double-digit Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, the absence of competitive polling shifts, and limited Republican resources. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or withdrawal by the incumbent, would be required to materially alter the outlook before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$47,839结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in New York’s 14th congressional district after winning her June 23, 2026 primary with 86.9% of the vote against two challengers. The solidly Democratic district, which features a Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered a 27.5-point margin for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024, has produced consistent double-digit Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, the absence of competitive polling shifts, and limited Republican resources. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or withdrawal by the incumbent, would be required to materially alter the outlook before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,839结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in New York’s 14th congressional district after winning her June 23, 2026 primary with 86.9% of the vote against two challengers. The solidly Democratic district, which features a Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered a 27.5-point margin for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024, has produced consistent double-digit Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, the absence of competitive polling shifts, and limited Republican resources. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or withdrawal by the incumbent, would be required to materially alter the outlook before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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