The NY-21 race centers on an open seat in a historically Republican-leaning upstate New York district following Elise Stefanik’s departure. Primaries concluded June 23, 2026, with Anthony Constantino securing the Republican nomination and Blake Gendebien the Democratic nod. The district’s partisan composition, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure sustain the strong trader preference for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. No major late developments have altered the baseline outlook, though turnout patterns and candidate fundraising will be monitored in the coming months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,400 交易量
$52,400 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
19%
$52,400 交易量
$52,400 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$24,404 交易量
79%
民主党
$27,997 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 race centers on an open seat in a historically Republican-leaning upstate New York district following Elise Stefanik’s departure. Primaries concluded June 23, 2026, with Anthony Constantino securing the Republican nomination and Blake Gendebien the Democratic nod. The district’s partisan composition, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure sustain the strong trader preference for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. No major late developments have altered the baseline outlook, though turnout patterns and candidate fundraising will be monitored in the coming months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$52,400结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 race centers on an open seat in a historically Republican-leaning upstate New York district following Elise Stefanik’s departure. Primaries concluded June 23, 2026, with Anthony Constantino securing the Republican nomination and Blake Gendebien the Democratic nod. The district’s partisan composition, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure sustain the strong trader preference for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. No major late developments have altered the baseline outlook, though turnout patterns and candidate fundraising will be monitored in the coming months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,400结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-21 race centers on an open seat in a historically Republican-leaning upstate New York district following Elise Stefanik’s departure. Primaries concluded June 23, 2026, with Anthony Constantino securing the Republican nomination and Blake Gendebien the Democratic nod. The district’s partisan composition, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure sustain the strong trader preference for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. No major late developments have altered the baseline outlook, though turnout patterns and candidate fundraising will be monitored in the coming months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题