MrBeast’s recent wilderness challenge videos have anchored trader sentiment around the 70-80M week-one bracket, which currently holds the highest implied probability. The May 2 upload “I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000” cleared 35 million views in its first day and surpassed 100 million total shortly after, reinforcing the pattern seen in prior high-stakes survival formats that reliably deliver strong initial audience retention. With the next video expected to follow the same proven formula of escalating prizes and dramatic stakes, traders view the 70-80M outcome as the most likely landing zone before any potential late-week acceleration pushes totals higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
70-80M 50%
60-70M 32%
80-90M 17%
50-60M 2.4%
$34,109 交易量
$34,109 交易量
<50M
<1%
50-60M
2%
60-70M
32%
70-80M
50%
80-90M
17%
90-100M
1%
100M+
1%
70-80M 50%
60-70M 32%
80-90M 17%
50-60M 2.4%
$34,109 交易量
$34,109 交易量
<50M
<1%
50-60M
2%
60-70M
32%
70-80M
50%
80-90M
17%
90-100M
1%
100M+
1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s recent wilderness challenge videos have anchored trader sentiment around the 70-80M week-one bracket, which currently holds the highest implied probability. The May 2 upload “I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000” cleared 35 million views in its first day and surpassed 100 million total shortly after, reinforcing the pattern seen in prior high-stakes survival formats that reliably deliver strong initial audience retention. With the next video expected to follow the same proven formula of escalating prizes and dramatic stakes, traders view the 70-80M outcome as the most likely landing zone before any potential late-week acceleration pushes totals higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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