Republican incumbent Mike Carey secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Republican as of mid-August 2026, consistent with Carey's 2024 margin and the district's suburban Columbus profile that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Don Leonard, a former professor who prevailed in his May primary, has trailed in most assessments despite one July poll showing him within five points; no major late developments, candidate controversies, or national shifts have altered the structural tilt. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Republican odds, viewing the seat as low-risk for the incumbent party absent unforeseen turnout or polling surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,501 交易量
$10,501 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
民主党
19%
$10,501 交易量
$10,501 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,609 交易量
78%
民主党
$5,891 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Republican as of mid-August 2026, consistent with Carey's 2024 margin and the district's suburban Columbus profile that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Don Leonard, a former professor who prevailed in his May primary, has trailed in most assessments despite one July poll showing him within five points; no major late developments, candidate controversies, or national shifts have altered the structural tilt. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Republican odds, viewing the seat as low-risk for the incumbent party absent unforeseen turnout or polling surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$10,501结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Republican as of mid-August 2026, consistent with Carey's 2024 margin and the district's suburban Columbus profile that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Don Leonard, a former professor who prevailed in his May primary, has trailed in most assessments despite one July poll showing him within five points; no major late developments, candidate controversies, or national shifts have altered the structural tilt. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Republican odds, viewing the seat as low-risk for the incumbent party absent unforeseen turnout or polling surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,501结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Carey secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Republican as of mid-August 2026, consistent with Carey's 2024 margin and the district's suburban Columbus profile that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Don Leonard, a former professor who prevailed in his May primary, has trailed in most assessments despite one July poll showing him within five points; no major late developments, candidate controversies, or national shifts have altered the structural tilt. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated Republican odds, viewing the seat as low-risk for the incumbent party absent unforeseen turnout or polling surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题