The district's R+11 partisan voting index and status as an open seat following Rep. Kevin Hern's March decision to seek the Senate seat anchor trader consensus for a Republican hold. Multiple GOP candidates, including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David, compete in the June 16 primary, while Democrat John Croisant runs largely unopposed with limited fundraising. Recent withdrawal by Lt. Col. Dan Rooney ahead of the primary has narrowed the Republican field without altering the general election outlook. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with historical results in the Tulsa-area district and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or shifting national dynamics that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,853 交易量
$11,853 交易量
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$11,853 交易量
$11,853 交易量
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+11 partisan voting index and status as an open seat following Rep. Kevin Hern's March decision to seek the Senate seat anchor trader consensus for a Republican hold. Multiple GOP candidates, including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David, compete in the June 16 primary, while Democrat John Croisant runs largely unopposed with limited fundraising. Recent withdrawal by Lt. Col. Dan Rooney ahead of the primary has narrowed the Republican field without altering the general election outlook. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with historical results in the Tulsa-area district and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or shifting national dynamics that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题