Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on Tulsa, remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by former Representative Kevin Hern’s Senate bid. Republican nominee Mark Tedford advanced from a crowded June primary and secured the nomination after the August runoff was canceled, facing only Democratic candidate John Croisant in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the challenger. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,922 交易量
$24,922 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$24,922 交易量
$24,922 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$13,068 交易量
91%
民主党
$11,854 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on Tulsa, remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by former Representative Kevin Hern’s Senate bid. Republican nominee Mark Tedford advanced from a crowded June primary and secured the nomination after the August runoff was canceled, facing only Democratic candidate John Croisant in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the challenger. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$24,922结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on Tulsa, remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by former Representative Kevin Hern’s Senate bid. Republican nominee Mark Tedford advanced from a crowded June primary and secured the nomination after the August runoff was canceled, facing only Democratic candidate John Croisant in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the challenger. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,922结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETOklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on Tulsa, remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by former Representative Kevin Hern’s Senate bid. Republican nominee Mark Tedford advanced from a crowded June primary and secured the nomination after the August runoff was canceled, facing only Democratic candidate John Croisant in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the challenger. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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