Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and the state's consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The open seat, created after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Cabinet, drew a clear frontrunner in U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who secured the nomination with nearly 70 percent in the June primary following an endorsement from President Trump. Recent polling shows Hern leading the Democratic nominee, nurse N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, by roughly 20 points, consistent with historical margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe Republican. Low Democratic fundraising and limited national party investment have further reinforced positioning. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political realignment could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,335 交易量
$19,335 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$19,335 交易量
$19,335 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$12,754 交易量
96%
民主党
$6,582 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and the state's consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The open seat, created after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Cabinet, drew a clear frontrunner in U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who secured the nomination with nearly 70 percent in the June primary following an endorsement from President Trump. Recent polling shows Hern leading the Democratic nominee, nurse N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, by roughly 20 points, consistent with historical margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe Republican. Low Democratic fundraising and limited national party investment have further reinforced positioning. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political realignment could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$19,335结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and the state's consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The open seat, created after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Cabinet, drew a clear frontrunner in U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who secured the nomination with nearly 70 percent in the June primary following an endorsement from President Trump. Recent polling shows Hern leading the Democratic nominee, nurse N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, by roughly 20 points, consistent with historical margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe Republican. Low Democratic fundraising and limited national party investment have further reinforced positioning. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political realignment could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$19,335结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETOklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and the state's consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The open seat, created after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Cabinet, drew a clear frontrunner in U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who secured the nomination with nearly 70 percent in the June primary following an endorsement from President Trump. Recent polling shows Hern leading the Democratic nominee, nurse N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, by roughly 20 points, consistent with historical margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe Republican. Low Democratic fundraising and limited national party investment have further reinforced positioning. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political realignment could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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