Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding lead in the OR-04 race, reflecting the district’s D+6 partisan lean, her strong primary performance, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Hoyle defeated challengers decisively in the May 2026 Democratic primary and maintains a fundraising edge over Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who also advanced easily but faces the same structural disadvantages she encountered in 2024. Traders price in limited upside for Republicans absent major shifts, such as an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national tailwinds that could alter turnout or voter coalitions in this Willamette Valley and coastal district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,730 交易量
$21,730 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$21,730 交易量
$21,730 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$14,759 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,972 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding lead in the OR-04 race, reflecting the district’s D+6 partisan lean, her strong primary performance, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Hoyle defeated challengers decisively in the May 2026 Democratic primary and maintains a fundraising edge over Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who also advanced easily but faces the same structural disadvantages she encountered in 2024. Traders price in limited upside for Republicans absent major shifts, such as an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national tailwinds that could alter turnout or voter coalitions in this Willamette Valley and coastal district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$21,730结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding lead in the OR-04 race, reflecting the district’s D+6 partisan lean, her strong primary performance, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Hoyle defeated challengers decisively in the May 2026 Democratic primary and maintains a fundraising edge over Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who also advanced easily but faces the same structural disadvantages she encountered in 2024. Traders price in limited upside for Republicans absent major shifts, such as an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national tailwinds that could alter turnout or voter coalitions in this Willamette Valley and coastal district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,730结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding lead in the OR-04 race, reflecting the district’s D+6 partisan lean, her strong primary performance, and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Hoyle defeated challengers decisively in the May 2026 Democratic primary and maintains a fundraising edge over Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who also advanced easily but faces the same structural disadvantages she encountered in 2024. Traders price in limited upside for Republicans absent major shifts, such as an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national tailwinds that could alter turnout or voter coalitions in this Willamette Valley and coastal district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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