Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and earned a Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent performance in recent cycles where Hoyle secured reelection in 2024. With the Democratic primary set for May 19 featuring Hoyle against limited challengers, the general-election field is expected to pit her against Republican nominee Monique DeSpain. Traders have priced in the district’s structural advantages and incumbent fundraising edge at 90.5 percent Democratic probability, though a narrow primary upset or unusually strong Republican turnout could still narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,146 交易量
91%
共和党
$92 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and earned a Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent performance in recent cycles where Hoyle secured reelection in 2024. With the Democratic primary set for May 19 featuring Hoyle against limited challengers, the general-election field is expected to pit her against Republican nominee Monique DeSpain. Traders have priced in the district’s structural advantages and incumbent fundraising edge at 90.5 percent Democratic probability, though a narrow primary upset or unusually strong Republican turnout could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$9,239结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and earned a Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent performance in recent cycles where Hoyle secured reelection in 2024. With the Democratic primary set for May 19 featuring Hoyle against limited challengers, the general-election field is expected to pit her against Republican nominee Monique DeSpain. Traders have priced in the district’s structural advantages and incumbent fundraising edge at 90.5 percent Democratic probability, though a narrow primary upset or unusually strong Republican turnout could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,239结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and earned a Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent performance in recent cycles where Hoyle secured reelection in 2024. With the Democratic primary set for May 19 featuring Hoyle against limited challengers, the general-election field is expected to pit her against Republican nominee Monique DeSpain. Traders have priced in the district’s structural advantages and incumbent fundraising edge at 90.5 percent Democratic probability, though a narrow primary upset or unusually strong Republican turnout could still narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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