Julianne Moore’s commanding position in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from early critical acclaim for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy “The Debut,” which premiered to strong reviews at Telluride and quickly established her as the presumptive frontrunner. Traders appear to be pricing in Moore’s veteran status, the Academy’s recent openness to repeat winners, and the film’s early awards momentum ahead of wider release. With eligibility still months away and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the broad field of 50%+ outcomes reflects high uncertainty, while lower-probability names like Inde Navarrette (“Obsession”), Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller track announced projects that could gain traction at fall festivals. Key catalysts ahead include Toronto, New York, and Venice premieres that will clarify the competitive landscape before nominations voting begins in January.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳女主角
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳女主角
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,185 交易量
$132,185 交易量
2027-03-14
Julianne Moore
64%
Inde Navarrette
15%
Renate Reinsve
8%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,185 交易量
$132,185 交易量
2027-03-14
Julianne Moore
$88,488 交易量
64%
Inde Navarrette
$25,138 交易量
15%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 交易量
8%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 交易量
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 交易量
1%
Ruth Madeley
$711 交易量
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 交易量
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 交易量
1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 交易量
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 交易量
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding position in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from early critical acclaim for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy “The Debut,” which premiered to strong reviews at Telluride and quickly established her as the presumptive frontrunner. Traders appear to be pricing in Moore’s veteran status, the Academy’s recent openness to repeat winners, and the film’s early awards momentum ahead of wider release. With eligibility still months away and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the broad field of 50%+ outcomes reflects high uncertainty, while lower-probability names like Inde Navarrette (“Obsession”), Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller track announced projects that could gain traction at fall festivals. Key catalysts ahead include Toronto, New York, and Venice premieres that will clarify the competitive landscape before nominations voting begins in January.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
交易量
$132,185结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding position in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from early critical acclaim for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy “The Debut,” which premiered to strong reviews at Telluride and quickly established her as the presumptive frontrunner. Traders appear to be pricing in Moore’s veteran status, the Academy’s recent openness to repeat winners, and the film’s early awards momentum ahead of wider release. With eligibility still months away and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the broad field of 50%+ outcomes reflects high uncertainty, while lower-probability names like Inde Navarrette (“Obsession”), Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller track announced projects that could gain traction at fall festivals. Key catalysts ahead include Toronto, New York, and Venice premieres that will clarify the competitive landscape before nominations voting begins in January.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$132,185结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETJulianne Moore’s commanding position in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from early critical acclaim for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy “The Debut,” which premiered to strong reviews at Telluride and quickly established her as the presumptive frontrunner. Traders appear to be pricing in Moore’s veteran status, the Academy’s recent openness to repeat winners, and the film’s early awards momentum ahead of wider release. With eligibility still months away and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the broad field of 50%+ outcomes reflects high uncertainty, while lower-probability names like Inde Navarrette (“Obsession”), Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller track announced projects that could gain traction at fall festivals. Key catalysts ahead include Toronto, New York, and Venice premieres that will clarify the competitive landscape before nominations voting begins in January.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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