The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar with its 39.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of the Homer adaptation, which has delivered strong box office results nearing $1 billion and early critical acclaim for its epic scope and screenplay. Project Hail Mary follows at 25% on the strength of its March debut and Drew Goddard’s adaptation of Andy Weir’s novel, bolstered by solid audience metrics and sci-fi momentum. The Black Ball sits at 31.5% amid guild and precursor speculation, while Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 trail lower as campaigns build. With the awards season still months away and many fall titles pending, the race remains fluid, hinging on upcoming reviews, guild nominations, and how these blockbusters sustain narrative momentum against historical patterns favoring prestige adaptations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 31%
Project Hail Mary 28%
The Invite 23%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
The Odyssey
43%
The Black Ball
31%
Project Hail Mary
28%
The Invite
23%
Cry to Heaven
22%
Clarissa
22%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
21%
The Social Reckoning
21%
All of a Sudden
21%
Saturn Return
21%
Wildwood
21%
The Whisper Man
21%
Ink
21%
Dune: Part Three
18%
Toy Story 5
17%
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 31%
Project Hail Mary 28%
The Invite 23%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
The Odyssey
$1 交易量
43%
The Black Ball
$0 交易量
31%
Project Hail Mary
$0 交易量
28%
The Invite
$0 交易量
23%
Cry to Heaven
$0 交易量
22%
Clarissa
$0 交易量
22%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$0 交易量
21%
The Social Reckoning
$0 交易量
21%
All of a Sudden
$0 交易量
21%
Saturn Return
$0 交易量
21%
Wildwood
$0 交易量
21%
The Whisper Man
$0 交易量
21%
Ink
$0 交易量
21%
Dune: Part Three
$0 交易量
18%
Toy Story 5
$100 交易量
17%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar with its 39.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of the Homer adaptation, which has delivered strong box office results nearing $1 billion and early critical acclaim for its epic scope and screenplay. Project Hail Mary follows at 25% on the strength of its March debut and Drew Goddard’s adaptation of Andy Weir’s novel, bolstered by solid audience metrics and sci-fi momentum. The Black Ball sits at 31.5% amid guild and precursor speculation, while Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 trail lower as campaigns build. With the awards season still months away and many fall titles pending, the race remains fluid, hinging on upcoming reviews, guild nominations, and how these blockbusters sustain narrative momentum against historical patterns favoring prestige adaptations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$101结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar with its 39.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of the Homer adaptation, which has delivered strong box office results nearing $1 billion and early critical acclaim for its epic scope and screenplay. Project Hail Mary follows at 25% on the strength of its March debut and Drew Goddard’s adaptation of Andy Weir’s novel, bolstered by solid audience metrics and sci-fi momentum. The Black Ball sits at 31.5% amid guild and precursor speculation, while Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 trail lower as campaigns build. With the awards season still months away and many fall titles pending, the race remains fluid, hinging on upcoming reviews, guild nominations, and how these blockbusters sustain narrative momentum against historical patterns favoring prestige adaptations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$101结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar with its 39.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of the Homer adaptation, which has delivered strong box office results nearing $1 billion and early critical acclaim for its epic scope and screenplay. Project Hail Mary follows at 25% on the strength of its March debut and Drew Goddard’s adaptation of Andy Weir’s novel, bolstered by solid audience metrics and sci-fi momentum. The Black Ball sits at 31.5% amid guild and precursor speculation, while Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 trail lower as campaigns build. With the awards season still months away and many fall titles pending, the race remains fluid, hinging on upcoming reviews, guild nominations, and how these blockbusters sustain narrative momentum against historical patterns favoring prestige adaptations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题