With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its earliest stages and the bulk of 2026 releases yet to screen, traders have priced a broad field of Best Casting contenders at nearly identical 50% implied probabilities. This flat positioning stems from the lack of guild input, critics' awards, or established voting patterns that usually clarify frontrunners closer to nomination season. Early momentum hinges on directors with proven ensemble track records, studio casting departments, and anticipated star-driven projects, while titles like Dune: Part Three sit lower amid expectations of familiar talent rather than breakout discoveries. Festival debuts and late-year releases remain the key catalysts that could soon separate the pack.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
UNABOMBER 39%
Fjord 38%
Obsession 38%
Michael 38%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
UNABOMBER
39%
Fjord
38%
Obsession
38%
Michael
38%
Cry to Heaven
38%
Saturn Return
32%
The Odyssey
12%
The Black Ball
36%
Wild Horse Nine
37%
Digger
32%
Dune: Part Three
36%
Being Heumann
36%
Clarissa
33%
UNABOMBER 39%
Fjord 38%
Obsession 38%
Michael 38%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
UNABOMBER
$28 交易量
39%
Fjord
$28 交易量
38%
Obsession
$28 交易量
38%
Michael
$28 交易量
38%
Cry to Heaven
$28 交易量
38%
Saturn Return
$28 交易量
32%
The Odyssey
$48 交易量
12%
The Black Ball
$28 交易量
36%
Wild Horse Nine
$48 交易量
37%
Digger
$48 交易量
32%
Dune: Part Three
$28 交易量
36%
Being Heumann
$28 交易量
36%
Clarissa
$28 交易量
33%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its earliest stages and the bulk of 2026 releases yet to screen, traders have priced a broad field of Best Casting contenders at nearly identical 50% implied probabilities. This flat positioning stems from the lack of guild input, critics' awards, or established voting patterns that usually clarify frontrunners closer to nomination season. Early momentum hinges on directors with proven ensemble track records, studio casting departments, and anticipated star-driven projects, while titles like Dune: Part Three sit lower amid expectations of familiar talent rather than breakout discoveries. Festival debuts and late-year releases remain the key catalysts that could soon separate the pack.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$424结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its earliest stages and the bulk of 2026 releases yet to screen, traders have priced a broad field of Best Casting contenders at nearly identical 50% implied probabilities. This flat positioning stems from the lack of guild input, critics' awards, or established voting patterns that usually clarify frontrunners closer to nomination season. Early momentum hinges on directors with proven ensemble track records, studio casting departments, and anticipated star-driven projects, while titles like Dune: Part Three sit lower amid expectations of familiar talent rather than breakout discoveries. Festival debuts and late-year releases remain the key catalysts that could soon separate the pack.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$424结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its earliest stages and the bulk of 2026 releases yet to screen, traders have priced a broad field of Best Casting contenders at nearly identical 50% implied probabilities. This flat positioning stems from the lack of guild input, critics' awards, or established voting patterns that usually clarify frontrunners closer to nomination season. Early momentum hinges on directors with proven ensemble track records, studio casting departments, and anticipated star-driven projects, while titles like Dune: Part Three sit lower amid expectations of familiar talent rather than breakout discoveries. Festival debuts and late-year releases remain the key catalysts that could soon separate the pack.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题