Christopher Nolan’s commanding lead at 59.5% implied probability stems from the strong critical and commercial reception of his July 2026 release *The Odyssey*, which built on his *Oppenheimer* Best Director win and established him as the clear frontrunner in early trader consensus. With *Dune: Part Three* still awaiting its December release and most other 2026 contenders lacking widespread screenings or confirmed awards momentum, the field remains wide open, reflected in the cluster of names trading near 50%. Key swing factors include upcoming festival reactions, guild nominations, and late-year releases that could shift voter sentiment before nominations lock in early 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳导演奖得主
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳导演奖得主
克里斯托弗·诺兰 60%
德尼·维伦纽瓦 21%
亚历杭德罗·冈萨雷斯·伊尼亚里图 7%
马丁·麦克唐纳 6.0%
$20,626 交易量
$20,626 交易量
2027-03-14
克里斯托弗·诺兰
60%
德尼·维伦纽瓦
21%
亚历杭德罗·冈萨雷斯·伊尼亚里图
7%
马丁·麦克唐纳
6%
菲尔·罗德或克里斯托弗·米勒
6%
杰西·艾森伯格
4%
亚伦·索金
4%
奥利维亚·王尔德
2%
大卫·O·拉塞尔
1%
史蒂文·斯皮尔伯格
1%
彼得·法雷利
1%
乔丹·弗斯特曼
1%
兰斯·奥本海姆
1%
巴萨姆·塔里克
<1%
克里斯托弗·诺兰 60%
德尼·维伦纽瓦 21%
亚历杭德罗·冈萨雷斯·伊尼亚里图 7%
马丁·麦克唐纳 6.0%
$20,626 交易量
$20,626 交易量
2027-03-14
克里斯托弗·诺兰
$15,376 交易量
60%
德尼·维伦纽瓦
$845 交易量
21%
亚历杭德罗·冈萨雷斯·伊尼亚里图
$1,574 交易量
7%
马丁·麦克唐纳
$278 交易量
6%
菲尔·罗德或克里斯托弗·米勒
$214 交易量
6%
杰西·艾森伯格
$220 交易量
4%
亚伦·索金
$176 交易量
4%
奥利维亚·王尔德
$242 交易量
2%
大卫·O·拉塞尔
$161 交易量
1%
史蒂文·斯皮尔伯格
$230 交易量
1%
彼得·法雷利
$185 交易量
1%
乔丹·弗斯特曼
$236 交易量
1%
兰斯·奥本海姆
$700 交易量
1%
巴萨姆·塔里克
$188 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s commanding lead at 59.5% implied probability stems from the strong critical and commercial reception of his July 2026 release *The Odyssey*, which built on his *Oppenheimer* Best Director win and established him as the clear frontrunner in early trader consensus. With *Dune: Part Three* still awaiting its December release and most other 2026 contenders lacking widespread screenings or confirmed awards momentum, the field remains wide open, reflected in the cluster of names trading near 50%. Key swing factors include upcoming festival reactions, guild nominations, and late-year releases that could shift voter sentiment before nominations lock in early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
交易量
$20,626结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s commanding lead at 59.5% implied probability stems from the strong critical and commercial reception of his July 2026 release *The Odyssey*, which built on his *Oppenheimer* Best Director win and established him as the clear frontrunner in early trader consensus. With *Dune: Part Three* still awaiting its December release and most other 2026 contenders lacking widespread screenings or confirmed awards momentum, the field remains wide open, reflected in the cluster of names trading near 50%. Key swing factors include upcoming festival reactions, guild nominations, and late-year releases that could shift voter sentiment before nominations lock in early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,626结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETChristopher Nolan’s commanding lead at 59.5% implied probability stems from the strong critical and commercial reception of his July 2026 release *The Odyssey*, which built on his *Oppenheimer* Best Director win and established him as the clear frontrunner in early trader consensus. With *Dune: Part Three* still awaiting its December release and most other 2026 contenders lacking widespread screenings or confirmed awards momentum, the field remains wide open, reflected in the cluster of names trading near 50%. Key swing factors include upcoming festival reactions, guild nominations, and late-year releases that could shift voter sentiment before nominations lock in early 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题