Early in the 2027 Oscar cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment on the Best Documentary Feature market reflects a wide-open field with no established frontrunner. American Doctor holds the edge at 17.5% implied probability after its Sundance premiere, audience awards, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition for its timely focus on U.S. physicians in Gaza. Nuisance Bear follows closely at 14.5% on the strength of its Sundance expansion from a celebrated short and Grand Jury recognition for its nuanced take on human-wildlife conflict. Once Upon a Time in Harlem and similar entries draw support from critical scores and festival momentum, while historical Academy emphasis on guild traction and accessibility keeps the race fluid ahead of fall festivals and precursor awards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
American Doctor 18%
Nuisance Bear 15%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 13%
One in a Million 8%
$11,333 交易量
$11,333 交易量
2027-03-14
American Doctor
18%
Nuisance Bear
15%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
13%
One in a Million
8%
Tutu
7%
Musk
5%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
1%
American Doctor 18%
Nuisance Bear 15%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 13%
One in a Million 8%
$11,333 交易量
$11,333 交易量
2027-03-14
American Doctor
$3,771 交易量
18%
Nuisance Bear
$6,443 交易量
15%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$440 交易量
13%
One in a Million
$25 交易量
8%
Tutu
$565 交易量
7%
Musk
$25 交易量
5%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$64 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscar cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment on the Best Documentary Feature market reflects a wide-open field with no established frontrunner. American Doctor holds the edge at 17.5% implied probability after its Sundance premiere, audience awards, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition for its timely focus on U.S. physicians in Gaza. Nuisance Bear follows closely at 14.5% on the strength of its Sundance expansion from a celebrated short and Grand Jury recognition for its nuanced take on human-wildlife conflict. Once Upon a Time in Harlem and similar entries draw support from critical scores and festival momentum, while historical Academy emphasis on guild traction and accessibility keeps the race fluid ahead of fall festivals and precursor awards.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$11,333结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscar cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment on the Best Documentary Feature market reflects a wide-open field with no established frontrunner. American Doctor holds the edge at 17.5% implied probability after its Sundance premiere, audience awards, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition for its timely focus on U.S. physicians in Gaza. Nuisance Bear follows closely at 14.5% on the strength of its Sundance expansion from a celebrated short and Grand Jury recognition for its nuanced take on human-wildlife conflict. Once Upon a Time in Harlem and similar entries draw support from critical scores and festival momentum, while historical Academy emphasis on guild traction and accessibility keeps the race fluid ahead of fall festivals and precursor awards.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,333结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2027 Oscar cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment on the Best Documentary Feature market reflects a wide-open field with no established frontrunner. American Doctor holds the edge at 17.5% implied probability after its Sundance premiere, audience awards, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition for its timely focus on U.S. physicians in Gaza. Nuisance Bear follows closely at 14.5% on the strength of its Sundance expansion from a celebrated short and Grand Jury recognition for its nuanced take on human-wildlife conflict. Once Upon a Time in Harlem and similar entries draw support from critical scores and festival momentum, while historical Academy emphasis on guild traction and accessibility keeps the race fluid ahead of fall festivals and precursor awards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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