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icon for 奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖

奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖

icon for 奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖

奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖

奥德赛 53%

La Bola Negra 15%

沙丘3 14%

野马九号 7%

Polymarket

$200,977 交易量

奥德赛 53%

La Bola Negra 15%

沙丘3 14%

野马九号 7%

Polymarket

$200,977 交易量

奥德赛

$125,076 交易量

53%

La Bola Negra

$5,018 交易量

15%

沙丘3

$18,308 交易量

14%

野马九号

$7,841 交易量

7%

Digger

$8,554 交易量

6%

告别地球的人

$4,366 交易量

3%

首秀

$5,080 交易量

3%

峡湾

$4,579 交易量

2%

邀请

$1,329 交易量

1%

巨兽!

$3,774 交易量

1%

社会清算

$1,193 交易量

<1%

戏剧

$1,254 交易量

<1%

克利夫·布斯历险记

$1,219 交易量

<1%

Clarissa

$1,184 交易量

<1%

约瑟芬

$1,295 交易量

<1%

土星归来

$1,199 交易量

<1%

托尼

$3,379 交易量

<1%

披露之日

$1,245 交易量

<1%

祖国

$1,187 交易量

<1%

猝不及防

$1,199 交易量

<1%

迈克尔

$1,347 交易量

<1%

复仇者联盟:末日审判

$1,350 交易量

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Picture race shows The Odyssey holding a modest lead at 52.5% implied probability amid a crowded field where numerous titles sit near 50%. This tight positioning arises from the early awards cycle, where limited releases, festival buzz, and precursor signals have yet to separate contenders decisively. Key differentiators include critical reception at upcoming events, guild nominations from bodies like the PGA and DGA, historical voting patterns favoring films with broad industry narratives, and box office or streaming metrics that build voter momentum. Fall festivals and early critic announcements represent the next major catalysts likely to reshape the competitive dynamics before the season intensifies.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$200,977
结束日期
2027-03-14
市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Picture race shows The Odyssey holding a modest lead at 52.5% implied probability amid a crowded field where numerous titles sit near 50%. This tight positioning arises from the early awards cycle, where limited releases, festival buzz, and precursor signals have yet to separate contenders decisively. Key differentiators include critical reception at upcoming events, guild nominations from bodies like the PGA and DGA, historical voting patterns favoring films with broad industry narratives, and box office or streaming metrics that build voter momentum. Fall festivals and early critic announcements represent the next major catalysts likely to reshape the competitive dynamics before the season intensifies.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$200,977
结束日期
2027-03-14
市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

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常见问题

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 22 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥德赛",概率为 53%,其次是"La Bola Negra",概率为 15%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 53¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 53%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖"已产生 $201K 的总交易量(自Jul 27, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 22 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖"的当前领先者是"奥德赛",概率为 53%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 53%。紧随其后的结果是"La Bola Negra",概率为 15%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳影片奖"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。