Trader consensus for the 2027 Best Picture race shows The Odyssey holding a modest lead at 52.5% implied probability, while a broad field of titles clusters near 50%, underscoring the high uncertainty this far ahead of the ceremony. With no major guild results or critics' awards yet decided, sentiment reflects early positioning rather than decisive momentum, as historical patterns demonstrate campaigns often shift after fall festival screenings and precursor announcements. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra align with their release schedules and current industry narratives. Upcoming catalysts such as guild nominations and critical consensus will likely sharpen distinctions among contenders in the months ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳影片奖
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳影片奖
奥德赛 53%
La Bola Negra 15%
沙丘3 14%
野马九号 7%
$200,977 交易量
$200,977 交易量
2027-03-14
奥德赛
53%
La Bola Negra
15%
沙丘3
14%
野马九号
7%
Digger
6%
告别地球的人
3%
首秀
3%
峡湾
3%
邀请
1%
巨兽！
1%
社会清算
<1%
戏剧
<1%
克利夫·布斯历险记
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
约瑟芬
<1%
土星归来
<1%
托尼
<1%
披露之日
<1%
祖国
<1%
猝不及防
<1%
迈克尔
<1%
复仇者联盟：末日审判
<1%
奥德赛 53%
La Bola Negra 15%
沙丘3 14%
野马九号 7%
$200,977 交易量
$200,977 交易量
2027-03-14
奥德赛
$125,076 交易量
53%
La Bola Negra
$5,018 交易量
15%
沙丘3
$18,308 交易量
14%
野马九号
$7,841 交易量
7%
Digger
$8,554 交易量
6%
告别地球的人
$4,366 交易量
3%
首秀
$5,080 交易量
3%
峡湾
$4,579 交易量
3%
邀请
$1,329 交易量
1%
巨兽！
$3,774 交易量
1%
社会清算
$1,193 交易量
<1%
戏剧
$1,254 交易量
<1%
克利夫·布斯历险记
$1,219 交易量
<1%
Clarissa
$1,184 交易量
<1%
约瑟芬
$1,295 交易量
<1%
土星归来
$1,199 交易量
<1%
托尼
$3,379 交易量
<1%
披露之日
$1,245 交易量
<1%
祖国
$1,187 交易量
<1%
猝不及防
$1,199 交易量
<1%
迈克尔
$1,347 交易量
<1%
复仇者联盟：末日审判
$1,350 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus for the 2027 Best Picture race shows The Odyssey holding a modest lead at 52.5% implied probability, while a broad field of titles clusters near 50%, underscoring the high uncertainty this far ahead of the ceremony. With no major guild results or critics' awards yet decided, sentiment reflects early positioning rather than decisive momentum, as historical patterns demonstrate campaigns often shift after fall festival screenings and precursor announcements. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra align with their release schedules and current industry narratives. Upcoming catalysts such as guild nominations and critical consensus will likely sharpen distinctions among contenders in the months ahead.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
交易量
$200,977结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus for the 2027 Best Picture race shows The Odyssey holding a modest lead at 52.5% implied probability, while a broad field of titles clusters near 50%, underscoring the high uncertainty this far ahead of the ceremony. With no major guild results or critics' awards yet decided, sentiment reflects early positioning rather than decisive momentum, as historical patterns demonstrate campaigns often shift after fall festival screenings and precursor announcements. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra align with their release schedules and current industry narratives. Upcoming catalysts such as guild nominations and critical consensus will likely sharpen distinctions among contenders in the months ahead.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$200,977结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETTrader consensus for the 2027 Best Picture race shows The Odyssey holding a modest lead at 52.5% implied probability, while a broad field of titles clusters near 50%, underscoring the high uncertainty this far ahead of the ceremony. With no major guild results or critics' awards yet decided, sentiment reflects early positioning rather than decisive momentum, as historical patterns demonstrate campaigns often shift after fall festival screenings and precursor announcements. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra align with their release schedules and current industry narratives. Upcoming catalysts such as guild nominations and critical consensus will likely sharpen distinctions among contenders in the months ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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