Early Oscar buzz for 2027 Best Supporting Actress centers on Anne Hathaway’s performance in The Odyssey, giving her the clearest market edge at 30.5% amid a wide-open field. Multiple actresses sit near 50% implied probability because the season remains in its formative phase, with no guild or critics’ awards yet to establish momentum. Penélope Cruz in The Invite and La Bola Negra, Mariana di Girolamo in Wild Horse Nine, Sandra Hüller across several projects, and Parker Posey also feature prominently in early predictor rankings. Key differentiators include film visibility, historical Academy preferences for prestige pictures, and potential double-nomination scenarios. Traders will watch fall festival premieres, box-office tracking, and precursor voting patterns for the first meaningful shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 :最佳女配角获奖者
安妮·海瑟薇 31%
佩内洛普·克鲁兹 16%
贝蒂·吉尔平 7%
玛丽亚娜·迪·吉罗拉莫 6.3%

安妮·海瑟薇
31%

佩内洛普·克鲁兹
10%

贝蒂·吉尔平
7%

玛丽亚娜·迪·吉罗拉莫
6%

Inde Navarrette
6%

Zendaya
6%

桑德拉·许勒
6%

Tao Okamoto
5%

帕克·波西
5%

伊莎贝拉·罗塞里尼
5%

丹妮尔·戴德怀勒
4%

杰玛·陈
4%

玛格丽特·库阿利
4%
安妮·海瑟薇 31%
佩内洛普·克鲁兹 16%
贝蒂·吉尔平 7%
玛丽亚娜·迪·吉罗拉莫 6.3%

安妮·海瑟薇
31%

佩内洛普·克鲁兹
10%

贝蒂·吉尔平
7%

玛丽亚娜·迪·吉罗拉莫
6%

Inde Navarrette
6%

Zendaya
6%

桑德拉·许勒
6%

Tao Okamoto
5%

帕克·波西
5%

伊莎贝拉·罗塞里尼
5%

丹妮尔·戴德怀勒
4%

杰玛·陈
4%

玛格丽特·库阿利
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early Oscar buzz for 2027 Best Supporting Actress centers on Anne Hathaway’s performance in The Odyssey, giving her the clearest market edge at 30.5% amid a wide-open field. Multiple actresses sit near 50% implied probability because the season remains in its formative phase, with no guild or critics’ awards yet to establish momentum. Penélope Cruz in The Invite and La Bola Negra, Mariana di Girolamo in Wild Horse Nine, Sandra Hüller across several projects, and Parker Posey also feature prominently in early predictor rankings. Key differentiators include film visibility, historical Academy preferences for prestige pictures, and potential double-nomination scenarios. Traders will watch fall festival premieres, box-office tracking, and precursor voting patterns for the first meaningful shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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