The strong Republican tilt of Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors the 90% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker won renomination in the May primary and holds significant fundraising and name-recognition advantages over Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion ahead of the November 3 general election. Historical election margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or late developments sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Structural factors such as incumbency and low challenger viability continue to shape market positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,782 交易量
$14,782 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
$14,782 交易量
$14,782 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,832 交易量
90%
民主党
$4,950 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors the 90% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker won renomination in the May primary and holds significant fundraising and name-recognition advantages over Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion ahead of the November 3 general election. Historical election margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or late developments sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Structural factors such as incumbency and low challenger viability continue to shape market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$14,782结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors the 90% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker won renomination in the May primary and holds significant fundraising and name-recognition advantages over Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion ahead of the November 3 general election. Historical election margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or late developments sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Structural factors such as incumbency and low challenger viability continue to shape market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,782结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors the 90% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker won renomination in the May primary and holds significant fundraising and name-recognition advantages over Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion ahead of the November 3 general election. Historical election margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or late developments sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Structural factors such as incumbency and low challenger viability continue to shape market positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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