Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean and her established voter base. Lee secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May primary and previously won the seat with 56.4 percent in 2024. Republican nominee James Hayes has not generated significant momentum or outside support to close the gap. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket prices the Democratic outcome above 94 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,307 交易量
$16,307 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$16,307 交易量
$16,307 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,658 交易量
95%
共和党
$4,649 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean and her established voter base. Lee secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May primary and previously won the seat with 56.4 percent in 2024. Republican nominee James Hayes has not generated significant momentum or outside support to close the gap. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket prices the Democratic outcome above 94 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,307结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean and her established voter base. Lee secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May primary and previously won the seat with 56.4 percent in 2024. Republican nominee James Hayes has not generated significant momentum or outside support to close the gap. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket prices the Democratic outcome above 94 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,307结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean and her established voter base. Lee secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May primary and previously won the seat with 56.4 percent in 2024. Republican nominee James Hayes has not generated significant momentum or outside support to close the gap. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket prices the Democratic outcome above 94 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题