Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler secured the nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district, facing Democrat Alan Bradstock in the November general election. The southwest Pennsylvania seat carries a strong Republican partisan voting index and delivered Reschenthaler victories exceeding 30 points in prior cycles, producing the current trader consensus reflected in 93.5% odds for the Republican Party. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. A national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though structural factors have kept the outcome stable through recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,135 交易量
$13,135 交易量
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$13,135 交易量
$13,135 交易量
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler secured the nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district, facing Democrat Alan Bradstock in the November general election. The southwest Pennsylvania seat carries a strong Republican partisan voting index and delivered Reschenthaler victories exceeding 30 points in prior cycles, producing the current trader consensus reflected in 93.5% odds for the Republican Party. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. A national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though structural factors have kept the outcome stable through recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题