Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Both parties’ primaries concluded in May with Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunity for an upset. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered that outlook in recent weeks. Wagner’s background as a veteran and engineer has not yet produced measurable movement in the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,821 交易量
$32,821 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
$32,821 交易量
$32,821 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$20,705 交易量
88%
民主党
$12,116 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Both parties’ primaries concluded in May with Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunity for an upset. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered that outlook in recent weeks. Wagner’s background as a veteran and engineer has not yet produced measurable movement in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$32,821结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Both parties’ primaries concluded in May with Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunity for an upset. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered that outlook in recent weeks. Wagner’s background as a veteran and engineer has not yet produced measurable movement in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,821结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Both parties’ primaries concluded in May with Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunity for an upset. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered that outlook in recent weeks. Wagner’s background as a veteran and engineer has not yet produced measurable movement in the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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