Peru's political landscape keeps the outlook for a 2026 pardon of former President Pedro Castillo closely balanced near even odds. Castillo received an 11-year, five-month sentence in late 2025 for his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress, and his defense has filed multiple clemency requests, including one in February 2026 that the transitional government immediately ruled out of its agenda. Official statements have continued to reject rumors of imminent action, yet Peru's July 2026 presidential transition introduces uncertainty over whether the incoming administration will review the case under constitutional pardon powers. Sentence finality, coalition dynamics in Congress, and any shifts in public or elite support for humanitarian or political reconciliation remain key variables that could move probabilities in either direction before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's political landscape keeps the outlook for a 2026 pardon of former President Pedro Castillo closely balanced near even odds. Castillo received an 11-year, five-month sentence in late 2025 for his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress, and his defense has filed multiple clemency requests, including one in February 2026 that the transitional government immediately ruled out of its agenda. Official statements have continued to reject rumors of imminent action, yet Peru's July 2026 presidential transition introduces uncertainty over whether the incoming administration will review the case under constitutional pardon powers. Sentence finality, coalition dynamics in Congress, and any shifts in public or elite support for humanitarian or political reconciliation remain key variables that could move probabilities in either direction before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's political landscape keeps the outlook for a 2026 pardon of former President Pedro Castillo closely balanced near even odds. Castillo received an 11-year, five-month sentence in late 2025 for his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress, and his defense has filed multiple clemency requests, including one in February 2026 that the transitional government immediately ruled out of its agenda. Official statements have continued to reject rumors of imminent action, yet Peru's July 2026 presidential transition introduces uncertainty over whether the incoming administration will review the case under constitutional pardon powers. Sentence finality, coalition dynamics in Congress, and any shifts in public or elite support for humanitarian or political reconciliation remain key variables that could move probabilities in either direction before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru's political landscape keeps the outlook for a 2026 pardon of former President Pedro Castillo closely balanced near even odds. Castillo received an 11-year, five-month sentence in late 2025 for his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress, and his defense has filed multiple clemency requests, including one in February 2026 that the transitional government immediately ruled out of its agenda. Official statements have continued to reject rumors of imminent action, yet Peru's July 2026 presidential transition introduces uncertainty over whether the incoming administration will review the case under constitutional pardon powers. Sentence finality, coalition dynamics in Congress, and any shifts in public or elite support for humanitarian or political reconciliation remain key variables that could move probabilities in either direction before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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