**Recent projections for the 2026 NFL season place the top passing touchdown leaders in the low-to-mid 30s, well below Peyton Manning’s 55-TD benchmark from the 2013 16-game schedule, creating balance around the 50% threshold.** The 17-game format offers more opportunities, yet defensive adaptations, injury risks to quarterbacks and offensive lines, and typical regression from peak efficiency keep the record chase unlikely in consensus views. Elite situations—such as Joe Burrow’s weapons in Cincinnati, Dak Prescott’s supporting cast in Dallas, or high-volume attacks led by Matthew Stafford, Josh Allen, or emerging passers—provide realistic paths for outliers near 40-plus touchdowns under ideal health and matchup conditions. Sustained pass-heavy schemes, minimal turnovers, and favorable weather or scheduling could elevate totals enough to close the gap, while any significant roster disruption or defensive emphasis would reinforce the status quo. Trader pricing reflects this tension between expanded playing time and the sustained excellence required.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于51% 概率
最新
最新
2027-01-12
51% 概率
最新
最新
2027-01-12
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent projections for the 2026 NFL season place the top passing touchdown leaders in the low-to-mid 30s, well below Peyton Manning’s 55-TD benchmark from the 2013 16-game schedule, creating balance around the 50% threshold.** The 17-game format offers more opportunities, yet defensive adaptations, injury risks to quarterbacks and offensive lines, and typical regression from peak efficiency keep the record chase unlikely in consensus views. Elite situations—such as Joe Burrow’s weapons in Cincinnati, Dak Prescott’s supporting cast in Dallas, or high-volume attacks led by Matthew Stafford, Josh Allen, or emerging passers—provide realistic paths for outliers near 40-plus touchdowns under ideal health and matchup conditions. Sustained pass-heavy schemes, minimal turnovers, and favorable weather or scheduling could elevate totals enough to close the gap, while any significant roster disruption or defensive emphasis would reinforce the status quo. Trader pricing reflects this tension between expanded playing time and the sustained excellence required.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent projections for the 2026 NFL season place the top passing touchdown leaders in the low-to-mid 30s, well below Peyton Manning’s 55-TD benchmark from the 2013 16-game schedule, creating balance around the 50% threshold.** The 17-game format offers more opportunities, yet defensive adaptations, injury risks to quarterbacks and offensive lines, and typical regression from peak efficiency keep the record chase unlikely in consensus views. Elite situations—such as Joe Burrow’s weapons in Cincinnati, Dak Prescott’s supporting cast in Dallas, or high-volume attacks led by Matthew Stafford, Josh Allen, or emerging passers—provide realistic paths for outliers near 40-plus touchdowns under ideal health and matchup conditions. Sustained pass-heavy schemes, minimal turnovers, and favorable weather or scheduling could elevate totals enough to close the gap, while any significant roster disruption or defensive emphasis would reinforce the status quo. Trader pricing reflects this tension between expanded playing time and the sustained excellence required.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET**Recent projections for the 2026 NFL season place the top passing touchdown leaders in the low-to-mid 30s, well below Peyton Manning’s 55-TD benchmark from the 2013 16-game schedule, creating balance around the 50% threshold.** The 17-game format offers more opportunities, yet defensive adaptations, injury risks to quarterbacks and offensive lines, and typical regression from peak efficiency keep the record chase unlikely in consensus views. Elite situations—such as Joe Burrow’s weapons in Cincinnati, Dak Prescott’s supporting cast in Dallas, or high-volume attacks led by Matthew Stafford, Josh Allen, or emerging passers—provide realistic paths for outliers near 40-plus touchdowns under ideal health and matchup conditions. Sustained pass-heavy schemes, minimal turnovers, and favorable weather or scheduling could elevate totals enough to close the gap, while any significant roster disruption or defensive emphasis would reinforce the status quo. Trader pricing reflects this tension between expanded playing time and the sustained excellence required.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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