Rhode Island's commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% stems from the state's 16-year Democratic trifecta, supermajorities in both legislative chambers, and no Republican statewide victory since 2006, yielding consistent gubernatorial margins above 50% for Democrats. Incumbent Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes decisively in April polls—such as UNH (Foulkes 45%, McKee 11%) and aggregates (Foulkes +20%)—amid McKee's dismal 18% approval rating, though early general election surveys show both Democrats leading fragmented Republican (Aaron Guckian) and independent (Ken Block) fields among decided voters. With primaries on September 9 and filing deadline June 24, odds reflect expectations of Democratic consolidation; realistic challenges include a post-primary scandal, independent surge, or national Republican midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党 94%
共和党 4.1%
无党派人士 1.4%
$51,124 交易量
$51,124 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
无党派人士
1%
民主党 94%
共和党 4.1%
无党派人士 1.4%
$51,124 交易量
$51,124 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$44,090 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,942 交易量
4%
无党派人士
$92 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% stems from the state's 16-year Democratic trifecta, supermajorities in both legislative chambers, and no Republican statewide victory since 2006, yielding consistent gubernatorial margins above 50% for Democrats. Incumbent Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes decisively in April polls—such as UNH (Foulkes 45%, McKee 11%) and aggregates (Foulkes +20%)—amid McKee's dismal 18% approval rating, though early general election surveys show both Democrats leading fragmented Republican (Aaron Guckian) and independent (Ken Block) fields among decided voters. With primaries on September 9 and filing deadline June 24, odds reflect expectations of Democratic consolidation; realistic challenges include a post-primary scandal, independent surge, or national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$51,124结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% stems from the state's 16-year Democratic trifecta, supermajorities in both legislative chambers, and no Republican statewide victory since 2006, yielding consistent gubernatorial margins above 50% for Democrats. Incumbent Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes decisively in April polls—such as UNH (Foulkes 45%, McKee 11%) and aggregates (Foulkes +20%)—amid McKee's dismal 18% approval rating, though early general election surveys show both Democrats leading fragmented Republican (Aaron Guckian) and independent (Ken Block) fields among decided voters. With primaries on September 9 and filing deadline June 24, odds reflect expectations of Democratic consolidation; realistic challenges include a post-primary scandal, independent surge, or national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$51,124结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% stems from the state's 16-year Democratic trifecta, supermajorities in both legislative chambers, and no Republican statewide victory since 2006, yielding consistent gubernatorial margins above 50% for Democrats. Incumbent Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes decisively in April polls—such as UNH (Foulkes 45%, McKee 11%) and aggregates (Foulkes +20%)—amid McKee's dismal 18% approval rating, though early general election surveys show both Democrats leading fragmented Republican (Aaron Guckian) and independent (Ken Block) fields among decided voters. With primaries on September 9 and filing deadline June 24, odds reflect expectations of Democratic consolidation; realistic challenges include a post-primary scandal, independent surge, or national Republican midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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