Persistent territorial demands and stalled high-level negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustain trader consensus around an 81% implied probability that comprehensive peace remains off the table. Recent short-term ceasefires and prisoner exchanges have produced limited momentum shifts without altering core battlefield form, where Russia maintains pressure in eastern sectors while Ukraine counters with long-range strikes. Matchup dynamics favor prolonged engagement given unresolved security guarantees and energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, mirroring back-to-back contests where rest advantages and roster depth prolong outcomes. Historical patterns of incremental truces without lasting resolution further anchor the current pricing, underscoring the competitive nature despite diplomatic overtures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$468,743 交易量
$468,743 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$468,743 交易量
$468,743 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfPersistent territorial demands and stalled high-level negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustain trader consensus around an 81% implied probability that comprehensive peace remains off the table. Recent short-term ceasefires and prisoner exchanges have produced limited momentum shifts without altering core battlefield form, where Russia maintains pressure in eastern sectors while Ukraine counters with long-range strikes. Matchup dynamics favor prolonged engagement given unresolved security guarantees and energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, mirroring back-to-back contests where rest advantages and roster depth prolong outcomes. Historical patterns of incremental truces without lasting resolution further anchor the current pricing, underscoring the competitive nature despite diplomatic overtures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
市场开放时间： Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
交易量
$468,743结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfPersistent territorial demands and stalled high-level negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustain trader consensus around an 81% implied probability that comprehensive peace remains off the table. Recent short-term ceasefires and prisoner exchanges have produced limited momentum shifts without altering core battlefield form, where Russia maintains pressure in eastern sectors while Ukraine counters with long-range strikes. Matchup dynamics favor prolonged engagement given unresolved security guarantees and energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, mirroring back-to-back contests where rest advantages and roster depth prolong outcomes. Historical patterns of incremental truces without lasting resolution further anchor the current pricing, underscoring the competitive nature despite diplomatic overtures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
交易量
$468,743结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent territorial demands and stalled high-level negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustain trader consensus around an 81% implied probability that comprehensive peace remains off the table. Recent short-term ceasefires and prisoner exchanges have produced limited momentum shifts without altering core battlefield form, where Russia maintains pressure in eastern sectors while Ukraine counters with long-range strikes. Matchup dynamics favor prolonged engagement given unresolved security guarantees and energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, mirroring back-to-back contests where rest advantages and roster depth prolong outcomes. Historical patterns of incremental truces without lasting resolution further anchor the current pricing, underscoring the competitive nature despite diplomatic overtures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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