Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds secured a decisive primary victory with roughly 76% of the vote and a Trump endorsement, reflecting broad party support in a state where Republicans have won every Senate contest since 2008. The recent withdrawal of the Democratic nominee Julian Beaudion leaves independent Brian Bengs as the primary challenger, further consolidating the Republican position ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects these structural advantages, including incumbency, fundraising strength, and South Dakota's consistent partisan voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues for the frontrunner, or unexpected national political shifts could still introduce volatility, though historical base rates in the state suggest limited pathways for reversal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,184 交易量
$10,184 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
3%
$10,184 交易量
$10,184 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,711 交易量
94%
民主党
$4,473 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds secured a decisive primary victory with roughly 76% of the vote and a Trump endorsement, reflecting broad party support in a state where Republicans have won every Senate contest since 2008. The recent withdrawal of the Democratic nominee Julian Beaudion leaves independent Brian Bengs as the primary challenger, further consolidating the Republican position ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects these structural advantages, including incumbency, fundraising strength, and South Dakota's consistent partisan voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues for the frontrunner, or unexpected national political shifts could still introduce volatility, though historical base rates in the state suggest limited pathways for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$10,184结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds secured a decisive primary victory with roughly 76% of the vote and a Trump endorsement, reflecting broad party support in a state where Republicans have won every Senate contest since 2008. The recent withdrawal of the Democratic nominee Julian Beaudion leaves independent Brian Bengs as the primary challenger, further consolidating the Republican position ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects these structural advantages, including incumbency, fundraising strength, and South Dakota's consistent partisan voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues for the frontrunner, or unexpected national political shifts could still introduce volatility, though historical base rates in the state suggest limited pathways for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$10,184结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds secured a decisive primary victory with roughly 76% of the vote and a Trump endorsement, reflecting broad party support in a state where Republicans have won every Senate contest since 2008. The recent withdrawal of the Democratic nominee Julian Beaudion leaves independent Brian Bengs as the primary challenger, further consolidating the Republican position ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects these structural advantages, including incumbency, fundraising strength, and South Dakota's consistent partisan voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues for the frontrunner, or unexpected national political shifts could still introduce volatility, though historical base rates in the state suggest limited pathways for reversal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题