The S&P 500 trades near 7,785 as of mid-August 2026 after closing at a record 7,799 on August 13, driven by robust first-half earnings growth exceeding 25% and AI-related gains in technology components. Traders weigh resilient GDP and productivity trends against sticky inflation pressures from energy costs tied to Middle East developments, which have shifted some Fed expectations toward steady policy or modest hikes under new Chair Kevin Warsh rather than cuts. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,800–8,000, reflecting strong corporate margins but also elevated valuations and potential volatility from upcoming inflation releases and FOMC communications. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether earnings momentum sustains through the fourth quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$302,228 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
5%
↑ $9,000
10%
↑ 8,600美元
13%
↑ 8,200美元
27%
↑ $8,000
73%
↓ $7,400
59%
↓ $7,200
63%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ 6,200美元
15%
↓ $6,000
28%
↓ 5,800
8%
↓ 5,200
7%
↓ 4,500美元
4%
$302,228 交易量
↑ $10,000
$103 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$9,261 交易量
5%
↑ $9,000
$8 交易量
10%
↑ 8,600美元
$26,235 交易量
13%
↑ 8,200美元
$21,489 交易量
27%
↑ $8,000
$483 交易量
73%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
59%
↓ $7,200
$0 交易量
63%
↓ $7,000
$200 交易量
61%
↓ 6,200美元
$42,720 交易量
15%
↓ $6,000
$0 交易量
28%
↓ 5,800
$37,004 交易量
8%
↓ 5,200
$50,483 交易量
7%
↓ 4,500美元
$54,191 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 trades near 7,785 as of mid-August 2026 after closing at a record 7,799 on August 13, driven by robust first-half earnings growth exceeding 25% and AI-related gains in technology components. Traders weigh resilient GDP and productivity trends against sticky inflation pressures from energy costs tied to Middle East developments, which have shifted some Fed expectations toward steady policy or modest hikes under new Chair Kevin Warsh rather than cuts. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,800–8,000, reflecting strong corporate margins but also elevated valuations and potential volatility from upcoming inflation releases and FOMC communications. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether earnings momentum sustains through the fourth quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$302,228结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 trades near 7,785 as of mid-August 2026 after closing at a record 7,799 on August 13, driven by robust first-half earnings growth exceeding 25% and AI-related gains in technology components. Traders weigh resilient GDP and productivity trends against sticky inflation pressures from energy costs tied to Middle East developments, which have shifted some Fed expectations toward steady policy or modest hikes under new Chair Kevin Warsh rather than cuts. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,800–8,000, reflecting strong corporate margins but also elevated valuations and potential volatility from upcoming inflation releases and FOMC communications. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether earnings momentum sustains through the fourth quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$302,228结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 trades near 7,785 as of mid-August 2026 after closing at a record 7,799 on August 13, driven by robust first-half earnings growth exceeding 25% and AI-related gains in technology components. Traders weigh resilient GDP and productivity trends against sticky inflation pressures from energy costs tied to Middle East developments, which have shifted some Fed expectations toward steady policy or modest hikes under new Chair Kevin Warsh rather than cuts. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,800–8,000, reflecting strong corporate margins but also elevated valuations and potential volatility from upcoming inflation releases and FOMC communications. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether earnings momentum sustains through the fourth quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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