Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 valuation led by Sequoia, has anchored trader consensus around a 2B–3B IPO closing market cap. The platform’s 180 million users, 50% revenue growth to roughly $500 million ARR, and April 2025 Runna acquisition for personalized training have strengthened its position in the competitive digital fitness space against rivals like Peloton and Garmin. Yet the sizable probabilities on both sub-2B and 15B+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over subscription conversion rates, broader consumer-tech market conditions, and execution risks as the company prepares for a potential spring listing. Goldman Sachs underwriting and CEO comments on IPO readiness further support the near-term window, though any delay could shift sentiment quickly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$85,532 交易量
$85,532 交易量
2027-12-31
低于20亿美元
19%
20亿–30亿
35%
30亿–40亿
5%
40亿–50亿
21%
50亿–70亿
4%
70亿–100亿
3%
100亿–150亿
6%
150亿美元以上
16%
2028年前不IPO
10%
$85,532 交易量
$85,532 交易量
2027-12-31
低于20亿美元
$794 交易量
19%
20亿–30亿
$53,833 交易量
35%
30亿–40亿
$24,938 交易量
5%
40亿–50亿
$1,064 交易量
21%
50亿–70亿
$829 交易量
4%
70亿–100亿
$861 交易量
3%
100亿–150亿
$1,539 交易量
6%
150亿美元以上
$1,137 交易量
16%
2028年前不IPO
$536 交易量
10%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 valuation led by Sequoia, has anchored trader consensus around a 2B–3B IPO closing market cap. The platform’s 180 million users, 50% revenue growth to roughly $500 million ARR, and April 2025 Runna acquisition for personalized training have strengthened its position in the competitive digital fitness space against rivals like Peloton and Garmin. Yet the sizable probabilities on both sub-2B and 15B+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over subscription conversion rates, broader consumer-tech market conditions, and execution risks as the company prepares for a potential spring listing. Goldman Sachs underwriting and CEO comments on IPO readiness further support the near-term window, though any delay could shift sentiment quickly.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
交易量
$85,532结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 valuation led by Sequoia, has anchored trader consensus around a 2B–3B IPO closing market cap. The platform’s 180 million users, 50% revenue growth to roughly $500 million ARR, and April 2025 Runna acquisition for personalized training have strengthened its position in the competitive digital fitness space against rivals like Peloton and Garmin. Yet the sizable probabilities on both sub-2B and 15B+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over subscription conversion rates, broader consumer-tech market conditions, and execution risks as the company prepares for a potential spring listing. Goldman Sachs underwriting and CEO comments on IPO readiness further support the near-term window, though any delay could shift sentiment quickly.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$85,532结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 valuation led by Sequoia, has anchored trader consensus around a 2B–3B IPO closing market cap. The platform’s 180 million users, 50% revenue growth to roughly $500 million ARR, and April 2025 Runna acquisition for personalized training have strengthened its position in the competitive digital fitness space against rivals like Peloton and Garmin. Yet the sizable probabilities on both sub-2B and 15B+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over subscription conversion rates, broader consumer-tech market conditions, and execution risks as the company prepares for a potential spring listing. Goldman Sachs underwriting and CEO comments on IPO readiness further support the near-term window, though any delay could shift sentiment quickly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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