Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round anchor trader expectations for a modest step-up at IPO. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated 2025 revenue and ongoing profitability, the leading 4B–5B bracket reflects a reasonable public multiple in line with comparable subscription platforms, bolstered by board additions like Barry McCarthy and moves to monetize API access ahead of listing. The missed spring 2026 window and absence of a public filing have kept probabilities tempered, while strong user growth amid broader fitness trends supports the 2B–3B outcome as a close second. Market conditions, subscriber conversion rates, and any new financial disclosures remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities before a debut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Strava IPO收盘市值
Strava IPO收盘市值
20亿–30亿 20%
150亿美元以上 14.0%
100亿–150亿 5.6%
30亿–40亿 2.9%
$91,038 交易量
$91,038 交易量
2027-12-31
低于20亿美元
2%
20亿–30亿
20%
30亿–40亿
3%
40亿–50亿
40%
50亿–70亿
<1%
70亿–100亿
<1%
100亿–150亿
6%
150亿美元以上
12%
2028年前不IPO
1%
20亿–30亿 20%
150亿美元以上 14.0%
100亿–150亿 5.6%
30亿–40亿 2.9%
$91,038 交易量
$91,038 交易量
2027-12-31
低于20亿美元
$977 交易量
2%
20亿–30亿
$54,549 交易量
20%
30亿–40亿
$27,813 交易量
3%
40亿–50亿
$1,422 交易量
40%
50亿–70亿
$1,044 交易量
<1%
70亿–100亿
$1,226 交易量
<1%
100亿–150亿
$1,776 交易量
6%
150亿美元以上
$1,464 交易量
12%
2028年前不IPO
$767 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round anchor trader expectations for a modest step-up at IPO. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated 2025 revenue and ongoing profitability, the leading 4B–5B bracket reflects a reasonable public multiple in line with comparable subscription platforms, bolstered by board additions like Barry McCarthy and moves to monetize API access ahead of listing. The missed spring 2026 window and absence of a public filing have kept probabilities tempered, while strong user growth amid broader fitness trends supports the 2B–3B outcome as a close second. Market conditions, subscriber conversion rates, and any new financial disclosures remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities before a debut.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
交易量
$91,038结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round anchor trader expectations for a modest step-up at IPO. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated 2025 revenue and ongoing profitability, the leading 4B–5B bracket reflects a reasonable public multiple in line with comparable subscription platforms, bolstered by board additions like Barry McCarthy and moves to monetize API access ahead of listing. The missed spring 2026 window and absence of a public filing have kept probabilities tempered, while strong user growth amid broader fitness trends supports the 2B–3B outcome as a close second. Market conditions, subscriber conversion rates, and any new financial disclosures remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities before a debut.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$91,038结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETStrava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round anchor trader expectations for a modest step-up at IPO. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated 2025 revenue and ongoing profitability, the leading 4B–5B bracket reflects a reasonable public multiple in line with comparable subscription platforms, bolstered by board additions like Barry McCarthy and moves to monetize API access ahead of listing. The missed spring 2026 window and absence of a public filing have kept probabilities tempered, while strong user growth amid broader fitness trends supports the 2B–3B outcome as a close second. Market conditions, subscriber conversion rates, and any new financial disclosures remain key variables that could shift these implied probabilities before a debut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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