Chang San-cheng holds a commanding position in the Taoyuan mayoral race as the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026. His lead reflects strong polling margins dating back to early 2026 surveys, party consolidation behind his candidacy, and the Democratic Progressive Party's April nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main challenger. Traders appear to price in limited headroom for an upset given the incumbent's established local record and the relatively short official campaign window that begins in mid-November. Late developments such as shifts in cross-strait tensions, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among specific voter blocs could still alter the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于张善政 95%
黄士杰 4.1%
彭绍钦 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
张善政
95%
黄士杰
4%
彭绍钦
<1%
张善政 95%
黄士杰 4.1%
彭绍钦 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
张善政
$3,116 交易量
95%
黄士杰
$1,532 交易量
4%
彭绍钦
$1,216 交易量
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng holds a commanding position in the Taoyuan mayoral race as the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026. His lead reflects strong polling margins dating back to early 2026 surveys, party consolidation behind his candidacy, and the Democratic Progressive Party's April nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main challenger. Traders appear to price in limited headroom for an upset given the incumbent's established local record and the relatively short official campaign window that begins in mid-November. Late developments such as shifts in cross-strait tensions, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among specific voter blocs could still alter the outcome before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET
交易量
$5,864结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng holds a commanding position in the Taoyuan mayoral race as the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026. His lead reflects strong polling margins dating back to early 2026 surveys, party consolidation behind his candidacy, and the Democratic Progressive Party's April nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main challenger. Traders appear to price in limited headroom for an upset given the incumbent's established local record and the relatively short official campaign window that begins in mid-November. Late developments such as shifts in cross-strait tensions, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among specific voter blocs could still alter the outcome before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$5,864结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chang San-cheng holds a commanding position in the Taoyuan mayoral race as the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026. His lead reflects strong polling margins dating back to early 2026 surveys, party consolidation behind his candidacy, and the Democratic Progressive Party's April nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main challenger. Traders appear to price in limited headroom for an upset given the incumbent's established local record and the relatively short official campaign window that begins in mid-November. Late developments such as shifts in cross-strait tensions, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among specific voter blocs could still alter the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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