Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 87% for Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan makeup—where no Democrat has won since 1994—and term-limited incumbent Gov. Bill Lee's exit after two terms. Recent Targoz Market Research polling from late April shows GOP frontrunner Sen. Marsha Blackburn dominating the Republican primary at 63% over Rep. John Rose (10%) and state Sen. Monty Fritts (5%), while leading Democrat Jerri Green 51%-27% in a general election ballot test among registered voters. With candidate filings finalized in March and primaries set for August 6, traders see minimal path-to-victory for Democrats absent a major GOP collapse or scandal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
共和党
85%

民主党
6%

共和党
85%

民主党
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 87% for Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan makeup—where no Democrat has won since 1994—and term-limited incumbent Gov. Bill Lee's exit after two terms. Recent Targoz Market Research polling from late April shows GOP frontrunner Sen. Marsha Blackburn dominating the Republican primary at 63% over Rep. John Rose (10%) and state Sen. Monty Fritts (5%), while leading Democrat Jerri Green 51%-27% in a general election ballot test among registered voters. With candidate filings finalized in March and primaries set for August 6, traders see minimal path-to-victory for Democrats absent a major GOP collapse or scandal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题