The open gubernatorial contest, driven by term limits on the incumbent, stands as the primary catalyst shaping trader views on total ballots cast in Tennessee's November 2026 U.S. Senate election. Incumbent Bill Hagerty secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Democrats advanced Marquita Bradshaw in a low-visibility field, leaving the Senate race rated solidly Republican with limited suspense. Analysts note that contested statewide races and an open governor's seat have historically lifted midterm participation by several points relative to baseline Senate-only cycles. With no major late-breaking events or nationalized issues dominating recent coverage, current market pricing around the 1.6M–2.2M range reflects uncertainty over how much the governor's race and down-ballot legislative contests will mobilize voters versus typical midterm drop-off.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.6M-1.8M 99%
1.8M-2M 99%
2M-2.2M 99%
2.4M-2.6M 99%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<1.6M
87%
1.6M-1.8M
99%
1.8M-2M
99%
2M-2.2M
99%
2.2M-2.4M
87%
2.4M-2.6M
99%
2.6M+
87%
1.6M-1.8M 99%
1.8M-2M 99%
2M-2.2M 99%
2.4M-2.6M 99%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<1.6M
$0 交易量
87%
1.6M-1.8M
$0 交易量
99%
1.8M-2M
$0 交易量
99%
2M-2.2M
$0 交易量
99%
2.2M-2.4M
$0 交易量
87%
2.4M-2.6M
$0 交易量
99%
2.6M+
$0 交易量
87%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open gubernatorial contest, driven by term limits on the incumbent, stands as the primary catalyst shaping trader views on total ballots cast in Tennessee's November 2026 U.S. Senate election. Incumbent Bill Hagerty secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Democrats advanced Marquita Bradshaw in a low-visibility field, leaving the Senate race rated solidly Republican with limited suspense. Analysts note that contested statewide races and an open governor's seat have historically lifted midterm participation by several points relative to baseline Senate-only cycles. With no major late-breaking events or nationalized issues dominating recent coverage, current market pricing around the 1.6M–2.2M range reflects uncertainty over how much the governor's race and down-ballot legislative contests will mobilize voters versus typical midterm drop-off.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open gubernatorial contest, driven by term limits on the incumbent, stands as the primary catalyst shaping trader views on total ballots cast in Tennessee's November 2026 U.S. Senate election. Incumbent Bill Hagerty secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Democrats advanced Marquita Bradshaw in a low-visibility field, leaving the Senate race rated solidly Republican with limited suspense. Analysts note that contested statewide races and an open governor's seat have historically lifted midterm participation by several points relative to baseline Senate-only cycles. With no major late-breaking events or nationalized issues dominating recent coverage, current market pricing around the 1.6M–2.2M range reflects uncertainty over how much the governor's race and down-ballot legislative contests will mobilize voters versus typical midterm drop-off.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open gubernatorial contest, driven by term limits on the incumbent, stands as the primary catalyst shaping trader views on total ballots cast in Tennessee's November 2026 U.S. Senate election. Incumbent Bill Hagerty secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Democrats advanced Marquita Bradshaw in a low-visibility field, leaving the Senate race rated solidly Republican with limited suspense. Analysts note that contested statewide races and an open governor's seat have historically lifted midterm participation by several points relative to baseline Senate-only cycles. With no major late-breaking events or nationalized issues dominating recent coverage, current market pricing around the 1.6M–2.2M range reflects uncertainty over how much the governor's race and down-ballot legislative contests will mobilize voters versus typical midterm drop-off.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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