Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in the market's strong Republican consensus. His unopposed August primary win and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests underpin trader assessments. The Democratic nominee, Marquita Bradshaw, secured her party's nod in a low-turnout primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate outcomes for years. Key factors include incumbency benefits, fundraising advantages, and limited crossover appeal for challengers. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similar states suggest these remain remote possibilities ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,670 交易量
$24,670 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
96%
民主党
2%
$24,670 交易量
$24,670 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$14,806 交易量
96%
民主党
$9,864 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in the market's strong Republican consensus. His unopposed August primary win and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests underpin trader assessments. The Democratic nominee, Marquita Bradshaw, secured her party's nod in a low-turnout primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate outcomes for years. Key factors include incumbency benefits, fundraising advantages, and limited crossover appeal for challengers. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similar states suggest these remain remote possibilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$24,670结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in the market's strong Republican consensus. His unopposed August primary win and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests underpin trader assessments. The Democratic nominee, Marquita Bradshaw, secured her party's nod in a low-turnout primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate outcomes for years. Key factors include incumbency benefits, fundraising advantages, and limited crossover appeal for challengers. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similar states suggest these remain remote possibilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,670结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in the market's strong Republican consensus. His unopposed August primary win and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests underpin trader assessments. The Democratic nominee, Marquita Bradshaw, secured her party's nod in a low-turnout primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate outcomes for years. Key factors include incumbency benefits, fundraising advantages, and limited crossover appeal for challengers. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similar states suggest these remain remote possibilities ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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