Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's strong re-election bid, backed by over $5.6 million in cash on hand and no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6 contest, anchors the 95.5% trader consensus for a GOP Senate hold in solidly Republican Tennessee. The state's GOP supermajorities, consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, and safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore this positioning, with no recent polling or developments altering the landscape. Weak Democratic primary field—featuring Marquita Bradshaw, Maria Brewer, Civil Miller-Watkins, and Diana Onyejiaka, all reporting zero funds—further solidifies the imbalance. Realistic challenges include a surprise Hagerty primary upset, a post-primary high-profile Democrat recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandal or health issues before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,088 交易量
$19,088 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$19,088 交易量
$19,088 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,558 交易量
95%
民主党
$8,530 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's strong re-election bid, backed by over $5.6 million in cash on hand and no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6 contest, anchors the 95.5% trader consensus for a GOP Senate hold in solidly Republican Tennessee. The state's GOP supermajorities, consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, and safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore this positioning, with no recent polling or developments altering the landscape. Weak Democratic primary field—featuring Marquita Bradshaw, Maria Brewer, Civil Miller-Watkins, and Diana Onyejiaka, all reporting zero funds—further solidifies the imbalance. Realistic challenges include a surprise Hagerty primary upset, a post-primary high-profile Democrat recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandal or health issues before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$19,088结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's strong re-election bid, backed by over $5.6 million in cash on hand and no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6 contest, anchors the 95.5% trader consensus for a GOP Senate hold in solidly Republican Tennessee. The state's GOP supermajorities, consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, and safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore this positioning, with no recent polling or developments altering the landscape. Weak Democratic primary field—featuring Marquita Bradshaw, Maria Brewer, Civil Miller-Watkins, and Diana Onyejiaka, all reporting zero funds—further solidifies the imbalance. Realistic challenges include a surprise Hagerty primary upset, a post-primary high-profile Democrat recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandal or health issues before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$19,088结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's strong re-election bid, backed by over $5.6 million in cash on hand and no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6 contest, anchors the 95.5% trader consensus for a GOP Senate hold in solidly Republican Tennessee. The state's GOP supermajorities, consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, and safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore this positioning, with no recent polling or developments altering the landscape. Weak Democratic primary field—featuring Marquita Bradshaw, Maria Brewer, Civil Miller-Watkins, and Diana Onyejiaka, all reporting zero funds—further solidifies the imbalance. Realistic challenges include a surprise Hagerty primary upset, a post-primary high-profile Democrat recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandal or health issues before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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