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icon for 德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者
政治·德克萨斯州参议院

德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者

icon for 德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者
政治·德克萨斯州参议院

德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者

Polymarket

$1,405,195 交易量

Polymarket

$1,405,195 交易量

icon for 詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）

詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）

$637,434 交易量

62%

icon for 肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）

肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）

$767,761 交易量

39%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling has shown Democratic state Rep. James Talarico holding narrow leads over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Talarico. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff with former President Trump’s endorsement, but his past impeachment acquittal, legal issues, and whistleblower criticisms have drawn sustained opposition spending and some Republican crossover support for Talarico. The Democrat has outraised his opponent significantly while emphasizing broad appeal, with the contest rated a toss-up or lean Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. These dynamics have shifted implied probabilities toward a more competitive outcome than historical Texas Senate patterns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,405,195
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

结算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling has shown Democratic state Rep. James Talarico holding narrow leads over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Talarico. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff with former President Trump’s endorsement, but his past impeachment acquittal, legal issues, and whistleblower criticisms have drawn sustained opposition spending and some Republican crossover support for Talarico. The Democrat has outraised his opponent significantly while emphasizing broad appeal, with the contest rated a toss-up or lean Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. These dynamics have shifted implied probabilities toward a more competitive outcome than historical Texas Senate patterns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,405,195
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

结算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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常见问题

"德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）"，概率为 62%，其次是"肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）"，概率为 39%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者"已产生 $1.4 million 的总交易量（自Oct 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）"，概率为 62%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）"，概率为 39%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"德克萨斯州参议院选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。