**Recent roster volatility across the Dota 2 pro scene, including multiple high-profile stand-in integrations and emergency substitutions during the 2025-2026 cycle, underpins the 71% implied probability for "Yes."** Teams such as Team Yandex (with Saksa stepping in late 2025) and Aurora Gaming (Mikoto on temporary duty) have already demonstrated how last-minute adjustments stabilize lineups amid frequent shuffles, retirements, and positional trials. Valve’s TI participation guidelines permit approved stand-ins for emergencies like illness, visa delays, or eligibility issues, a provision that has historically triggered at least one substitution at major events. With TI 2026 group stage approaching in mid-August and 16 teams converging on Shanghai, the combination of travel logistics, player health risks, and ongoing roster flux makes an in-event stand-in highly plausible under the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0% 概率
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This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent roster volatility across the Dota 2 pro scene, including multiple high-profile stand-in integrations and emergency substitutions during the 2025-2026 cycle, underpins the 71% implied probability for "Yes."** Teams such as Team Yandex (with Saksa stepping in late 2025) and Aurora Gaming (Mikoto on temporary duty) have already demonstrated how last-minute adjustments stabilize lineups amid frequent shuffles, retirements, and positional trials. Valve’s TI participation guidelines permit approved stand-ins for emergencies like illness, visa delays, or eligibility issues, a provision that has historically triggered at least one substitution at major events. With TI 2026 group stage approaching in mid-August and 16 teams converging on Shanghai, the combination of travel logistics, player health risks, and ongoing roster flux makes an in-event stand-in highly plausible under the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
交易量
$217市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent roster volatility across the Dota 2 pro scene, including multiple high-profile stand-in integrations and emergency substitutions during the 2025-2026 cycle, underpins the 71% implied probability for "Yes."** Teams such as Team Yandex (with Saksa stepping in late 2025) and Aurora Gaming (Mikoto on temporary duty) have already demonstrated how last-minute adjustments stabilize lineups amid frequent shuffles, retirements, and positional trials. Valve’s TI participation guidelines permit approved stand-ins for emergencies like illness, visa delays, or eligibility issues, a provision that has historically triggered at least one substitution at major events. With TI 2026 group stage approaching in mid-August and 16 teams converging on Shanghai, the combination of travel logistics, player health risks, and ongoing roster flux makes an in-event stand-in highly plausible under the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$217市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent roster volatility across the Dota 2 pro scene, including multiple high-profile stand-in integrations and emergency substitutions during the 2025-2026 cycle, underpins the 71% implied probability for "Yes."** Teams such as Team Yandex (with Saksa stepping in late 2025) and Aurora Gaming (Mikoto on temporary duty) have already demonstrated how last-minute adjustments stabilize lineups amid frequent shuffles, retirements, and positional trials. Valve’s TI participation guidelines permit approved stand-ins for emergencies like illness, visa delays, or eligibility issues, a provision that has historically triggered at least one substitution at major events. With TI 2026 group stage approaching in mid-August and 16 teams converging on Shanghai, the combination of travel logistics, player health risks, and ongoing roster flux makes an in-event stand-in highly plausible under the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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